Understanding Household Evacuation Preferences during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Puerto Rico

Meng, S.*, Halim, N., Karra, M. & Mozumder, P. (2024). Understanding Household Evacuation Preferences During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Puerto Rico. Safety Science, 171: 106405. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2023.106405

14 Pages Posted: 19 Jan 2022 Last revised: 26 Dec 2023

See all articles by Sisi Meng

Sisi Meng

University of Notre Dame

Nafisa Halim

Boston University - School of Public Health

Mahesh Karra

Boston University - Department of Global Health and Development

Pallab Mozumder

Florida International University (FIU) - Department of Economics

Date Written: January 18, 2022

Abstract

The added threat from the COVID-19 pandemic created a complex dilemma for households that were also facing evacuation decisions during natural disasters. This paper characterized household concerns and evacuation preferences in the context of both hurricanes and pandemic risks. We conducted a survey of 504 households across 119 different zip code areas in Puerto Rico impacted by Hurricane Maria (2017). The households were asked to make a choice between staying isolated at home or evacuating with or without isolation in the event of a future hurricane threat during a pandemic. Our findings revealed that households, in the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, expressed greater concern about the risks associated with a pandemic compared to those related to hurricanes, and that there was a risk–risk trade-off when making the critical evacuation decision. In addition to hurricane-related concerns, past evacuation experiences, and the consideration of evacuation costs, we found that evacuation preferences were heterogeneous across age, gender, and ethnic groups, and were also driven by perceptions of infection risks and attitudes towards social distancing. Our research aimed to provide valuable insights to help develop effective responses and preparations for coastal hurricanes that consider the complexities of multiple hazards and health risks.

Keywords: Hurricane Evacuation, Covid-19 Pandemic, Risk-risk Trade-off, Household Survey, Multiple Hazards, Puerto Rico

JEL Classification: Q54

Suggested Citation

Meng, Sisi and Halim, Nafisa and Karra, Mahesh and Mozumder, Pallab, Understanding Household Evacuation Preferences during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Puerto Rico (January 18, 2022). Meng, S.*, Halim, N., Karra, M. & Mozumder, P. (2024). Understanding Household Evacuation Preferences During the COVID-19 Pandemic in Puerto Rico. Safety Science, 171: 106405. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssci.2023.106405, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=4011468 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4011468

Sisi Meng (Contact Author)

University of Notre Dame

4033 Jenkins and Nanovic Halls
Notre Dame
Notre Dame, IN 46556-5646
United States

Nafisa Halim

Boston University - School of Public Health ( email )

715 Albany Street
Boston, MA 02118
United States

Mahesh Karra

Boston University - Department of Global Health and Development

United States

Pallab Mozumder

Florida International University (FIU) - Department of Economics ( email )

11200 SW 8th Street
Miami, FL 3199
United States

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