Is diabetes mellitus associated with mortality and severity of COVID-19? A meta-analysis

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dsx.2020.04.044Get rights and content

Highlights

  • Prevalence of diabetes in COVID-19 patients is approximately 10%, which may be similar to the prevalence in the community.

  • Patients of COVID-19 who have diabetes have more than two-fold higher risk of developing severe disease.

  • Similarly, these patients also have nearly two-fold higher risk of mortality due to COVID-19 disease.

  • Whether this association of diabetes with COVID-19 mortality is independent of other comorbidities needs to be studied further.

Abstract

Background

Many studies on COVID-19 have reported diabetes to be associated with severe disease and mortality, however, the data is conflicting. The objectives of this meta-analysis were to explore the relationship between diabetes and COVID-19 mortality and severity, and to determine the prevalence of diabetes in patients with COVID-19.

Methods

We searched the PubMed for case-control studies in English, published between Jan 1 and Apr 22, 2020, that had data on diabetes in patients with COVID-19. The frequency of diabetes was compared between patients with and without the composite endpoint of mortality or severity. Random effects model was used with odds ratio as the effect size. We also determined the pooled prevalence of diabetes in patients with COVID-19. Heterogeneity and publication bias were taken care by meta-regression, sub-group analyses, and trim and fill methods.

Results

We included 33 studies (16,003 patients) and found diabetes to be significantly associated with mortality of COVID-19 with a pooled odds ratio of 1.90 (95% CI: 1.37–2.64; p < 0.01). Diabetes was also associated with severe COVID-19 with a pooled odds ratio of 2.75 (95% CI: 2.09–3.62; p < 0.01). The combined corrected pooled odds ratio of mortality or severity was 2.16 (95% CI: 1.74–2.68; p < 0.01). The pooled prevalence of diabetes in patients with COVID-19 was 9.8% (95% CI: 8.7%–10.9%) (after adjusting for heterogeneity).

Conclusions

Diabetes in patients with COVID-19 is associated with a two-fold increase in mortality as well as severity of COVID-19, as compared to non-diabetics. Further studies on the pathogenic mechanisms and therapeutic implications need to be done.

Keywords

Coronavirus
2019-nCoV
nCoV-2019
Novel coronavirus
SARS-CoV-2
COVID-19
Diabetes mellitus

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