Some epidemiological aspects of the new coronavirus infection (COVID-19) in Rostov region

Authors / Institutions

Tatyana I. Tverdokhlebova / Rostov Research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology, Federal Service for the Oversight of Consumer Protection and Welfare, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation

Yevgeny V. Kovalev / Territorial Administration of the Federal Supervision Service for Consumer’s Rights Protection and Human Welfare in the Chuvash Republic, Chuvashia

H.V.Karpushchenko / Center of Hygiene and Epidemiology of Rostov region, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation

Anna R. Litovko / Center of Hygiene and Epidemiology of Rostov region, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation

S.A.Nenadskaya / Rostov Department of the Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation

Viktoriya V. Agafonova / Rostov Research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology, Federal Service for the Oversight of Consumer Protection and Welfare, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation

Antonina A. Ryndich / Rostov Research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology, Federal Service for the Oversight of Consumer Protection and Welfare, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation

Alexander G. Suladze / Rostov Research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology, Federal Service for the Oversight of Consumer Protection and Welfare, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation

D.S.Kolpakov / Rostov Research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology, Federal Service for the Oversight of Consumer Protection and Welfare, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation

Nina N. Dolgova / Rostov Research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology, Federal Service for the Oversight of Consumer Protection and Welfare, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation

N.V.Aleksanina / Rostov Research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology, Federal Service for the Oversight of Consumer Protection and Welfare, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation

A.V.Aleshukina / Rostov Research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology, Federal Service for the Oversight of Consumer Protection and Welfare, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation

G.S.Aleshukin / Rostov Research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology, Federal Service for the Oversight of Consumer Protection and Welfare, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation

V.V.Denisenko / Rostov Research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology, Federal Service for the Oversight of Consumer Protection and Welfare, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation

Objective. To perform the analysis, monitoring, and prognosis of the spread of new coronavirus infection (COVID-19) in Rostov region.
Material and methods. We evaluated the incidence of COVID-19 in Rostov region. The data was obtained from the Rostov Department of the Federal Service for Surveillance on Consumer Rights Protection and Human Wellbeing, Center of Hygiene and Epidemiology of Rostov region, and Rostov Research Institute of Microbiology and Parasitology. In addition to that, we monitored the information on the official websites of the Government of Rostov region and regional COVID-19 headquarters. The SEIR analytical platform was used to build a mathematical model for predicting the spread of infection in Rostov region.
Results. We have evaluated the epidemiological situation of COVID-19 in Rostov region and analyzed the effectiveness of preventive and anti-epidemic measures with the possibility of predicting the development of the epidemic process in the region.
Key words: coronavirus infection, prognosis, anti-epidemic measures, epidemiological situation, COVID-19
For citation: Tverdokhlebova T.I., Kovalev E.V., Karpushchenko G.V., Litovko A.R., Nenadskaya S.A., Agafonova V.V., Ryndich A.A., Suladze A.G., Kolpakov D.S., Dolgova N.N., Aleksanina A.V., Aleshukina A.V., Aleshukin G.S., Denisenko V.V. Some epidemiological aspects of the new coronavirus infection (COVID-19) in Rostov region. Infekc. bolezni (Infectious deseases). 2020; 18(3): 21–29. (In Russian). DOI: 10.20953/1729-9225-2020-3-21-29