COVID-19 temporal dynamic as a hospital management method: Case study of the Martorell Hospital

Nicolas Ayala-Aldana 1, *, Antonio Monleon-Getino 1, Jaume Canela-Soler 2Silvia Sancliment i Guitart 3 and Carmen Serrano-Munuera 3

1 Section of Statistics, Department of Genetics, Microbiology, and Statistics, Faculty of Biology, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
2 Department of Clinical Foundations, School of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
3 Department of Epidemiology, Hospital 'Fundació Sant Joan de Deu de Martorell', Spain.
 
Research Article
World Journal of Advanced Research and Reviews, 2023, 17(01), 856–861
Article DOI: 10.30574/wjarr.2023.17.1.0067
 
Publication history: 
Received on 02 December 2022; revised on 20 January 2023; accepted on 23 January 2023
 
Abstract: 
Introduction: The COVID-19 pandemic has triggered a better preparation of primary care, hospitalization, and emergency health services. The current investigation of COVID-19 dynamics was carried at the Hospital Fundació Sant Joan de Deu de Martorell (FHSJDM). This research aims to analyse the COVID-19 time series in FHSJDM.
Methods: The time series of COVID-19 were analized for 2020-2021. To measure seasonality, the Dicky-Fuller test was obtained. The analysis of the results was performed in R-Studio software.
Results: Three peaks of cases are observed for January, April, and July 2021. These peaks of hospital cases are correlated with the new cases in the municipality and also with the new cases in Catalonia. The result of the seasonality test has a p-value >0.05, and thus it is accepted that the series is not seasonal for the registry of hospital cases.
Discussion: The study of COVID-19 dynamics is relevant to preparing health services. Each peak observed in the 2021 period affected the health services in the hospital FHSJDM, having an increase for new cases, hospitalized patients and total cases for COVID-19.
 
Keywords: 
COVID-19; Pandemic Dynamic; Time Series; Epidemiology
 
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