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Changes in social lives and loneliness during COVID-19 among older adults: a closer look at the sociodemographic differences

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  09 January 2023

Eun Young Choi*
Affiliation:
School of Global Public Health, New York University, New York, NY, USA
Mateo P. Farina
Affiliation:
Leonard Davis School of Gerontology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
Erfei Zhao
Affiliation:
Leonard Davis School of Gerontology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
Jennifer Ailshire
Affiliation:
Leonard Davis School of Gerontology, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA
*
Correspondence should be addressed to: Eun Young Choi, School of Global Public Health, New York University, 708 Broadway, New York, NY 10003, USA. Tel: 212-992-9070. Email: e.choi@nyu.edu
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Abstract

Objectives:

The COVID-19 pandemic greatly impacted the social lives of older adults across several areas, leading to concern about an increase in loneliness. This study examines the associations of structural, functional, and quality aspects of social connection with increased loneliness during COVID-19 and how these associations vary by sociodemographic factors.

Design:

Secondary data analyses on a nationally representative survey of older US adults.

Setting:

The 2020 Health and Retirement Study (HRS) COVID-19 module.

Participants:

The study sample includes 3,804 adults aged 54 or older.

Measurements:

Increased loneliness was based on respondents’ self-report on whether they felt lonelier than before the COVID-19 outbreak.

Results:

While 29% felt lonelier after COVID-19, middle-aged adults, women, non-Hispanic Whites, and the most educated were more likely to report increased loneliness. Not having enough in-person contact with people outside the household was associated with increased loneliness (OR = 10.07, p < .001). Receiving emotional support less frequently (OR = 2.28, p < .05) or more frequently (OR = 2.00, p < .001) than before was associated with increased loneliness. Worse quality of family relationships (OR = 1.85, p < .05) and worse friend/neighbor relationships (OR = 1.77, p < .01) were related to feeling lonelier. Significant interactions indicated stronger effects on loneliness of poor-quality family relationships for women and insufficient in-person contact with non-household people for the middle-aged group and non-Hispanic Whites.

Conclusions:

Our findings show an increase in loneliness during COVID-19 that was partly due to social mitigation efforts, and also uncover how sociodemographic groups were impacted differently, providing implications for recovery and support.

Type
Original Research Article
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BY
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Copyright
© International Psychogeriatric Association 2023

Introduction

In the early stage of the COVID-19 pandemic, health experts and governments across the world encouraged social distancing measures to control the spread of the virus and minimize infection risk by reducing close contact among people. These policies have included limits on large social gatherings, stay-at-home orders, and travel restrictions (Gostin and Wiley, Reference Gostin and Wiley2020), substantially restricting in-person social activities (Okabe-Miyamoto and Lyubomirsky, Reference Okabe-Miyamoto, Lyubomirsky and Helliwell2021). While designed to protect individuals, particularly those at increased risk of severe COVID-19 symptoms (e.g. older adults), side effects of social distancing may have disproportionally affected those who were not readily prepared to maintain social connections while being physically distant. Professional communities have raised concerns that the practice of social distancing can contribute to social isolation and loneliness, and older people may be more susceptible to its unintended consequences (Hwang et al., Reference Hwang2020; Miller, Reference Miller2020). Social distancing remains as the primary strategy for mitigating the transmission of COVID-19 as we confront new surges. This study uses nationally representative survey data of older Americans that were collected during the severe period of COVID-19. The findings inform questions about which aspects of social lives contribute to feelings of loneliness and for which groups. This will help us to make informed public health decisions in the future to protect older adults from new COVID-19 waves and other highly transmissible diseases while minimizing the burdens of social restriction on loneliness risk.

Social isolation and loneliness in older adults are serious public health concerns because of their link to adverse health outcomes such as cardiovascular health, physical morbidity, depression, cognitive impairment, and mortality (Holt-Lunstad et al., Reference Holt-Lunstad2015; National Academies of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine [NASEM], 2020). The changes in social life, as evidenced by the changes in social distancing and norms, may have magnified the already existing problem of social disconnection and loneliness among the older population (Kasar and Karaman, Reference Kasar and Karaman2021; Thayer and Anderson, Reference Thayer and Anderson2018). A growing number of reports have documented that older adults have experienced worsened loneliness, loss of social support, and social disconnection during the COVID-19 pandemic (Kotwal et al., Reference Kotwal2021; Krendl and Perry, Reference Krendl and Perry2021; Stolz et al., Reference Stolz, Mayerl and Freidl2021; van Tilburg et al., Reference van Tilburg2020). For example, about 73% of US adults aged 50+ reported that the pandemic made it more challenging to connect with friends, and 61% felt socially isolated (AARP Foundation, 2020).

Importantly, this experience of social disconnection and loneliness may be uneven across subpopulations within older adults. Studies have suggested that women, those with low socioeconomic resources, and those who live alone are more likely to experience greater social disconnection and loneliness during the pandemic (Kasar and Karaman, Reference Kasar and Karaman2021; Wong et al., Reference Wong2020). This is partly because disadvantaged groups face more challenges in accessing various resources/services (Douglas and Subica, Reference Douglas and Subica2020) and technological solutions to help with social distancing requirements (Donovan and Blazer, Reference Donovan and Blazer2020). Therefore, continued efforts should be made to identify the subgroups at high risk as well as to evaluate the general impacts of COVID-19 on older adults’ social lives.

Our study strengthens the understanding of COVID-related loneliness among older adults by addressing the following research gaps. First, we are among the first studies to focus on multidimensional aspects of social connection (structural, functional, and quality) in relation to changes in COVID-related loneliness, which helps us identify which aspects of older adults’ social lives have been most impacted. Second, most previous studies used convenience sampling, limiting the generalizability of the findings to the US older population (Dahlberg, Reference Dahlberg2021). Our study uses data from a nationally representative sample of older adults in the USA, which is important for determining if the association of social connection with increased loneliness was experienced across the population. Third, most research assessed loneliness with questions not specific to the pandemic, which makes it difficult to differentiate whether a high or increased level of loneliness can be attributed to factors related to the COVID-19 pandemic or reflects one’s general state prior. Our study used a question designed to directly measure changes in loneliness due to COVID-19. Last, our research hypotheses are guided by the Social Psychology Theory and resource perspective on loneliness, which can help us connect the study findings to the established literature or inform interventions.

Theoretical backgrounds and hypotheses

Social connection has been identified as a multidimensional construct encompassing different aspects of social relationships that include structural, functional, and quality categories. These components provide a holistic understanding of how individuals are socially connected to others (Holt-Lunstad et al., Reference Holt-Lunstad2017). Structural aspects relate to the existence of and interconnections among social relationships and roles (e.g. social network size, frequency of contact, and marital status). Functional aspects encompass the extent to which others can be relied on (e.g. instrumental and emotional social support). Quality aspects address a sense of connection arising from positive and negative qualities of relationships (e.g. marital quality and sense of belonging) (Carlson et al., Reference Carlson2017). Each component has been found to be correlated but independent from one another, providing evidence of different underlying pathways to health outcomes (Cohen et al., Reference Cohen, Gottlieb, Underwood, Cohen, Underwood and Gottlieb2000; Holt-Lunstad, Reference Holt-Lunstad2017).

Drawing on a cognitive attributional perspective, the Social Psychology Theory of Loneliness posits that loneliness occurs when one’s actual social relationships are perceived as being insufficient, either quantitatively or qualitatively, than what is desired, which is largely dependent on subjective experience (Perlman and Peplau, Reference Perlman, Peplau, Peplau and Perlman1982). The COVID-19 pandemic may have created this discrepancy and increased loneliness by affecting different aspects of social connection: (1) limiting individuals’ social contact (structural), (2) affecting the social support that they receive (functional), and (3) disrupting the quality of relationships with others (quality). Studies have provided supporting evidence for this argument. For example, Spanish adults who had less contact with relatives during COVID-19 reported greater loneliness (Losada-Baltar et al., Reference Losada-Baltar2021). Similarly, a loss of social contact and an unfulfilled need for support increased the loneliness of Dutch older adults (van Tilburg et al., Reference van Tilburg2020). To this end, we hypothesize that changes in different aspects of social connection due to COVID-19 (i.e. limited social contact, impaired relationship quality, and support needs) will lead to increased loneliness (Hypothesis 1).

It is important to note that the subjective experience of loneliness, regardless of actual social contact, varies across individuals’ circumstances and expectations (Perissinotto and Covinsky, Reference Perissinotto and Covinsky2014). The resource perspective on loneliness argues that one’s access to resources affects loneliness level, either directly or indirectly, through its effects on social relationships (Tesch-Roemer and Huxhold, Reference Tesch-Roemer and Huxhold2019). The resource here may be both material (e.g. economic status) and interpersonal (e.g. socially responsive environments). According to this perspective, older adults with limited access to resources may be more challenged by the COVID-19 social restrictions and, thus, more prone to increased loneliness. For example, while staying at home, those who do not have other people around or technological access to virtual connection are more susceptible to feeling lonelier. The current study hypothesizes that older adults, men, racial/ethnic minorities, and people with low education will be more likely to experience increased loneliness due to their more limited social resources to counter the impact social distancing measures had on their ways of connecting with others (Hypothesis 2). We also explore sociodemographic differences in the association between three aspects of social connection and increased loneliness. Here, we expect that groups with fewer social or material resources will be strongly impacted by adverse changes in social connection (Hypothesis 3). The overall theoretical framework of this study is presented in Figure 1.

Figure 1. Theoretical framework on how COVID-19 pandemic may have led to changes in three aspects of social connections and loneliness.

Methods

Data and sample

This study uses data from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS). The HRS is a longitudinal survey of a US nationally representative sample aged 50 years and older and it has been conducted biannually since 1992. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, HRS included COVID-19-related questions in the 2020 core interview and collected data between March 2020 through June 2021. The COVID-19 module of the 2020 HRS was administered to the random half of the HRS households, which was further split into two subgroups: the first one starting in June and the remaining other in September of 2020. The participants also received a self-administered leave-behind questionnaire (SAQ) by mail, following their core interview. The SAQ included questions on psychosocial changes arising from the COVID-19 pandemic. A total of 4,200 community-dwelling individuals aged 50 or older completed the SAQ survey. We limited to the community-dwelling, HRS cohort members who were 54 and older at the time of the COVID-19 interview (n = 3,961). After excluding an additional 157 respondents with missing information on study variables (3.9%), the final analytic sample consisted of 3,804 adults aged 54 or above.

Measures

Loneliness

Respondents were asked to report whether they felt lonely about the same, more, or less often compared to before the COVID-19 outbreak. As our focus was on examining the increased loneliness due to the pandemic, the responses were coded 0 for about the same or less so and 1 for more so.

Social connection

The survey included a wide range of questions on changes in social connection since the COVID-19 pandemic. We used items relevant to the structural, functional, and quality aspects of social connection. The structural aspect of social connection was further divided into (1) limited family social gatherings and (2) not enough in-person contact with people outside the household. Limited family social gatherings were assessed by whether the respondent experienced changes in the following activities due to the pandemic: (a) unable to visit a family member in a care facility, nursing home, or group home; (b) family celebrations canceled or restricted; (c) unable to visit a close family member who was in the hospital; (d) unable to attend the in-person funeral or religious services for a family member who died; (e) unable to visit family after the birth of a new baby. The response was coded 1 for yes and 0 for no or not relevant. A summary score was calculated by adding each item, with a total score ranging from 0 to 5. Not enough in-person contact with non-household people was measured with a single question asking how often the respondent has felt that they do not get enough in-person contact with people outside one’s household since the pandemic. The response was coded 0 for hardly ever or never and 1 for sometimes or often. As two measures of the functional aspect of social connection, the respondents were asked how often they had received (1) instrumental support (i.e., help for obtaining necessities or arranging emergency household repairs) or (2) emotional support (i.e., advice, encouragement, or emotional support) from others since the pandemic. Two categorical variables were created with responses grouped into (a) less often; and (b) about the same; (c) more often; and (d) not needed or not relevant. Finally, two indicators of the quality aspect were included: (1) worse quality of relationships with family members (i.e., children, grandchildren, and other family members) and (2) worse quality of relationships with friends or neighbors. Each indicator was coded as 1 if the respondent reported that their relationships had been worse since the pandemic.

Sociodemographic characteristics

Age was measured in years, and it was further categorized into two groups in analyses: ages 54–74 and ages 75 or older to facilitate subgroup comparisons. Gender was coded 0 for men and 1 for women. Race/ethnic groups consisted of non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, and others (American Indian, Alaskan Native, Asian, and Pacific Islander). Due to the small number of respondents from minority race/ethnic backgrounds, they were grouped together to create a Minority category for multivariate analyses. Marital status was grouped into (a) married or partnered; (b) separated or divorced; (c) widowed; or (d) never married. Educational attainment was classified as high school graduation or lower and some college or above.

Analytical strategy

After reviewing the descriptive characteristics of study variables, we compared loneliness changes by sociodemographic groups using Chi-squared tests. Next, to examine the associations of social connection on increased loneliness during COVID-19, we fitted logistic regression models. The findings remained similar between the models where each indicator of social connection was entered separately and the model with all indicators included simultaneously. We present models with all indicators as the main results and include the results from models with each indicator entered separately in the supplementary materials. Finally, interactions between each significant indicator of social connection and sociodemographic characteristics were examined to test whether the role of social connection in the increase of loneliness would differ across sociodemographic subgroups. A total number of 16 interaction terms were examined (four significant indicators and four sociodemographic factors). While this study set the statistical significance level at p < .05, we also report the Bonferroni-corrected significance threshold of p < .003 to reduce Type I error. Comprehensive information on the exact p values, the nominal significance threshold, and the Bonferroni-corrected threshold would allow more careful interpretation of the findings in light of various biases tied to each of the thresholds – high Type II error rates from the Bonferroni-corrected threshold and inflated Type I error rates from the conventional nominal threshold (VanderWeele and Mathur, Reference VanderWeele and Mathur2019). Significant interactions were further examined by post hoc pairwise comparisons of marginal predictions, which allows estimating group differences in increased loneliness for each response (i.e. yes or no) to a social connection indicator (MacKinnon, Reference MacKinnon2012). Differences were tested using Wald Chi-squared tests. The Bonferroni-corrected significance level for the group differences in the effects of each indicator on increased loneliness was p < .025 as two groups were compared (e.g. women vs. men). All analyses are weighted to correct for differential selection probabilities and nonresponse and to make the estimates population-representative. All analyses were performed using STATA version 17.0.

Supplementary analyses

Individuals’ reports on changes in loneliness during COVID-19 may differ depending on one’s usual levels of loneliness before the pandemic. Thus, we conducted supplementary analyses using the previous wave (2016) data to examine whether there are any differences in the factors associated with increased loneliness due to COVID-19 between the prelonely and the not prelonely groups. Loneliness was measured with the shortened three-item scale of loneliness (Hughes et al., Reference Hughes2004) from the 20-item Revised UCLA Loneliness Scale (Russell, Reference Russell1996). Respondents were asked how often they feel (1) lack companionship, (2) left out, and (3) isolated from others. Responses were coded on a three-point Likert scale (1 = often, 2 = some of the time, 3 = hardly ever or never). A summary index of loneliness was created by summing the scores after reverse-coding (range: 3–9), with higher values indicating greater levels of loneliness. The summary scale was pro-rated for those with at least two of the three items by dividing the non-missing summed scores by the number of non-missing items and multiplying them by 3. The internal consistency for the loneliness scale (Cronbach’s α) was 0.79. Adopting the widely used cut-off score of 6 (Victor and Pikhartova, Reference Victor and Pikhartova2020), those with scores of 3–5 were categorized as ‘not lonely,’ and those with 6 or higher were considered ‘lonely.’ Logistic regressions predicting increased loneliness were performed for each group.

Results

Descriptive statistics

Table 1 shows the descriptive statistics of the study variables. The mean age of participants was 69.6 years (SD = 9.7), about 77% were aged 54–74 and the remaining 23% were aged 75–95. About 55% were women. Non-Hispanic White was the largest group (79.9%) and racial/ethnic minority consisted of 7.9% non-Hispanic Blacks, 7.1% Hispanics, and 5.1% others (i.e. American Indian, Alaskan Native, Asian, and Pacific Islander). More than half of the sample (65.3%) had some college or above education and 64.1% were married or partnered.

Table 1. Descriptive characteristics of study variables (N = 3,804)

Note. Mean (M) and standard deviation (SD) are unweighted, while percentages (%) are weighted. Race/ethnicity of other included American Indian, Alaskan Native, Asian, and Pacific Islander.

As for limited family social gatherings due to COVID-19, the respondents reported that about two social activities were restricted on average (M = 2.0, SD = 1.5): 76% canceled family celebrations, 42% were unable to attend in-person funeral for a deceased family member, and 29% were unable to visit a close family member in the hospital. About two-thirds of the sample (69%) reported not having enough in-person contact with people outside the household. Regarding the functional aspects of the social connection, 16% and 25% said that they had received instrumental and emotional support more often compared to before COVID-19, respectively. There were a few people who reported receiving support from others less frequently. About 11% of the sample reported their quality of relationships with family members was worse since the pandemic, and 14% reported worse quality of relationships with friends or neighbors. In this sample, 67% felt lonely about the same compared to before COVID-19, while 29% experienced increased loneliness, and the remaining 5% reported feeling less lonely.

Loneliness changes compared to before COVID-19 by sociodemographic groups

Figure 2 shows the percent of older adults who reported feeling more or less lonely during Covid (bars represent 95% confidence intervals) across sociodemographic groups. About 29% of the middle-aged group aged 54–74 reported increased loneliness, which is slightly higher than 27% in the older group aged 75 or above. Women were more likely to report increased loneliness than men (34% vs. 22%). Among the race/ethnic groups, 30% of non-Hispanic Whites experienced increased loneliness, which was significantly higher than 22% in the minority group. At the same time, more adults from the racial/ethnic minority group reported feeling less lonely than their non-Hispanic White counterparts (10% vs. 3%). A greater proportion of those with education of some college or above reported increased loneliness than those with a high school education or less (31% vs. 24%). Supplemental Figure 1 shows sociodemographic differences in changes in social connection, which may provide some of the potential explanations for why each sociodemographic group reported different levels of changes in loneliness.

Figure 2. Sociodemographic differences in feeling lonely compared to before COVID-19. (a) Age groups, p = .01. (b) Gender groups, p < .001. (c) Racial/ethnic groups, p < .001. (d) Education groups, p < .001. Note. Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals.

Logistic regression models of increased loneliness

Figure 3 presents the predicted probabilities of increased loneliness by social connection indicators, which was estimated from the logistic regression model of increased loneliness compared to before the pandemic. Full regression results are available in Supplemental Table 1. In terms of structural aspects of social connection, not enough in-person contact with people outside the household was associated with 36% of increased loneliness, which was significantly higher than 5% when having enough contact (OR = 10.1; 95% CI = 6.88–14.74, p < .001). In addition, among the functional measures, those who received emotional support more frequently (32%) (OR = 2.00, 95% CI = 1.53–2.61, p < .001), as well as those who received it less frequently (35%) (OR = 2.28, 95% CI = 1.13–4.59, p = .021), were more likely to report increased loneliness than those with the same levels of support (19%). Finally, both worse quality of family (30%) (OR = 1.69, 95% CI = 1.23–2.32, p = .001) and friend/neighbor relationships (27%) (OR = 1.44, 95% CI = 1.09–1.91, p = .012) were associated with a higher probability of increased loneliness (20% and 21% in their counterparts, respectively). When entered independently into the models adjusting for sociodemographic covariates only, the directions of the associations of each indicator with increased loneliness were similar, but all reached statistically significant levels (see Supplemental Table 2 and Supplemental Figure 2). These findings suggest the correlation shared among the social connection indicators.

Figure 3. The effects of changes in social connection on increased loneliness. (A) Structural aspect. (B) Functional aspect. (C) Quality aspect. Note. The graphs are based on the logistic models predicting increased loneliness by the social connection indicators, controlling for sociodemographic factors. Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals. Colored bars indicate the significant effects at the significance threshold set at p < .05. Full results are presented in Supplemental Table 1.

We also examined differences in the association between social connections and increased loneliness due to COVID-19 by the prepandemic loneliness level. As shown in Supplementary Table 3, insufficient in-person contact with nonhousehold people was associated with increased loneliness for both groups and more strongly for the previously lonely group (OR = 20.14, CI = 6.26–64.86). Worse quality of family relationships was significantly associated with increased loneliness for the previously not lonely group (OR = 1.88, CI = 1.22–2.90), while the worse quality of relationships with friends/neighbors was associated with increased loneliness only for the previously lonely group (OR = 2.70, CI = 1.43–5.10).

Interaction effects by sociodemographic characteristics

With the same modeling approach, we examined interactions between each significant indicator of social connection and sociodemographic factors to test for differential effects of its effects across sociodemographic groups. A few significant interaction effects were observed as the following: Age groups × not enough in-person contact with people outside the household (OR = 0.40, 95% CI = 0.19–0.83, p = .014); women × worse quality of relationships with family members (OR = 1.99, 95% CI = 1.07–3.71, p = .03); racial/ethnic minority × not enough in-person contact with people outside the household (OR = 0.21, 95% CI = 0.10–0.44, p < .001). Based on the Bonferroni-corrected threshold set at 0.003, only the interactions with race/ethnicity exceeded the significance threshold. To further examine the significant interaction terms, we plotted the predicted probabilities of increased loneliness and performed post hoc comparisons using contrasts. As presented in Figure 4, not having enough in-person contact with nonhousehold people was more strongly associated with increased loneliness in the middle-aged group and non-Hispanic Whites compared to their older and minority counterparts. The negative effects of worse-quality family relationships were stronger among women than men.

Figure 4. Sociodemographic differences in the effects of changes in social connection on increased loneliness during the COVID-19. (a) Age groups, OR = 0.40 (95% CI = 0.19–0.83), p = .014. (b) Gender groups, OR = 1.99 (95% CI = 1.07–3.71), p = .030. (c) Racial/ethnic groups, OR = 0.21 (95% CI = 0.10–0.44), p < .001. Note. All interaction models control for other sociodemographic and social connection covariates. For interaction effects, the nominal significance threshold is set at p < .05 with the Bonferroni-corrected significance threshold calculated as p < .003. The graphs show the predicted probability of reporting increased loneliness estimated from the interaction models. Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals. Further, significant interaction terms were examined by post hoc pairwise comparisons of marginal predictions. Two sets of p values were reported: (a) bottom pairs of p values show the within-group differences in the effects of each social connection indicator on loneliness; (b) upper p values show the differences in the group differences. For post hoc comparisons, the nominal significance threshold is set at p < .05 with the Bonferroni-corrected significance threshold calculated as p < .025.

Discussion

Using data from a nationally representative sample of older US adults aged 50 and above, the present study examined the associations between structural, functional, and quality aspects of social connection and loneliness among older adults in the context of COVID-19, as well as sociodemographic variation in these associations. Our results showed that changes in each aspect of social connection due to COVID-19 were associated with the risk of feeling lonelier. Specifically, those who reported not having enough in-person social contact during COVID-19 had a higher risk of increased loneliness (36% vs. 5%). As expected, people that experienced worse quality of relationships with family members or friends/neighbors since the pandemic more likely to have increased loneliness compared to those that did not have such experiences (30% vs. 20% and 27% vs. 21%, respectively). Interestingly, lack of in-person contact shows a stronger association with increased loneliness in comparison to the quality of relationships. Though it is generally believed that the quality of social connections is equally important as quantity regarding loneliness (Kuczynski et al., Reference Kuczynski2022), this observation provides an interesting insight that people may feel most isolated when faced with a sudden social shrink in the availability of social resources and support from everyday interactions. Overall, these findings align with the Social Psychology Theory of Loneliness, which argues that an unfulfilled need for social connection leads to loneliness.

It was notable that those receiving emotional support more often as well as less often during COVID-19 were more likely to report increased loneliness than those who reported no changes since the pandemic (32% vs. 19%). This finding was unexpected, as earlier research showed that greater emotional support was associated with less loneliness (Hu and Gutman, Reference Hu and Gutman2021; van Tilburg et al., Reference van Tilburg2020). Unlike these studies, where the respondents reported how much support they received, we focused on whether the respondents had any changes in support since the pandemic. Thus, we cannot rule out the possibility of bidirectionality, such that receiving emotional support more often than before may reflect one’s high vulnerability to social isolation and disconnection.

Furthermore, we found sociodemographic differences in changes in loneliness and social connection. While 29% of the total sample felt lonelier after COVID-19, middle-aged adults, women, non-Hispanic Whites, and the higher education group were more likely to report increased loneliness than their counterparts. Similarly, a handful of previous studies on older adults’ experience of the COVID-19 pandemic reported that middle-aged older adults, men, and non-Hispanic Whites were more vulnerable to social isolation and loneliness than their counterparts (Whitehead and Torossian, Reference Whitehead and Torossian2021; van Tilburg et al., Reference van Tilburg2020). These findings are counter to our hypothesis based on the resource perspective on loneliness, assuming more vulnerability to loneliness among older adults, men, racial/ethnic minorities, and the lower education group who generally have more limited interpersonal or material resources. Rather, our findings can be understood through a cognitive attributional perspective which emphasizes that loneliness is a consequence of a discrepancy between one’s desired and achieved social relationships (Perlman and Peplau, Reference Perlman, Peplau, Peplau and Perlman1982). Given middle-aged adults, women, and those with higher education have more robust social networks (Cornwell et al., Reference Cornwell, Laumann and Schumm2008; Davidson et al., Reference Davidson, Daly and Arber2003; DiJulio et al., Reference DiJulio2018), they may hold higher expectations of social connections and, thus, be at an elevated risk of experiencing a mismatch between ideal and achieved social relationships during COVID-19. It also should be noted that each sociodemographic group may have a different focus on how they feel connected to others. Increased loneliness for Whites may be due to their greater reliance on friendship-based social networks than Blacks and Hispanics, which are more family-oriented (Ajrouch et al., Reference Ajrouch, Antonucci and Janevic2001; Becker et al., Reference Becker2003; Cudjoe et al., Reference Cudjoe2020). COVID-19 social mitigation efforts have centered on reducing in-person contact with people outside one’s household (friends and neighbors), which may have affected friendship networks more than family networks.

The supplemental analyses found varying sociodemographic patterns across structural, functional, and quality aspects of social connection. For example, more women reported limited in-person contact with others and family gatherings than men, whereas men received less instrumental and emotional social support. Non-Hispanic Whites were more likely to report not enough in-person contact and worse social relationships with friends or neighbors. More racial/ethnic minorities reported limited family social gatherings but receiving more emotional support. More respondents in the higher education group reported not enough in-person contact, worse friends/neighbor relationships, and receiving instrumental support less frequently than those with high school or less education. These differences may, in part, explain why the COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in increased loneliness more for the groups that were not commonly identified as at-risk. Overall, our findings resonate with the concerns raised early in the pandemic that older adults without previous experience of social isolation may be affected by the social distancing measures due to their lack of coping strategies in the face of the removal of social contacts (Brooke and Jackson, Reference Brooke and Jackson2020). As older adulthood is characterized by great heterogeneity of health and well-being among individuals, the unintended side effects of social distancing measures may manifest differently and thus, should be remedied by taking careful consideration of one’s unique characteristics and situation. The current findings add to this discussion and call attention to tailored interventions for each demographic group’s needs as well as further investigations to identify underlying mechanisms.

In interaction analysis, we found sociodemographic differences in the association between each aspect of social connection and increased loneliness. For example, mid-aged adults were more likely to feel lonelier than their older counterparts when not having enough contact with people outside the household (38% vs. 30%). This sizable difference can be interpreted through the lens of the Socioemotional Selectivity Theory (Carstensen et al., Reference Carstensen, Isaacowitz and Charles1999). According to the theory, as our future time perspective becomes shorter, as it typically does with age, people tend to be increasingly selective and invest more effort in emotionally meaningful goals and activities than knowledge acquisition. This means that at older ages, our focus is put more on interactions with family than with connections to people in less intimate relationships. In contrast, distal social networks such as neighbors may have had more powerful impacts in the middle ages, affecting feelings of loneliness. In addition, women are nearly twice as likely to feel lonelier than men when they had worse quality family relationships during COVID-19 (40% vs. 19%). This is in line with prior studies conducted in pre-pandemic (Rossi and Rossi, Reference Rossi and Rossi2018), and suggests that maintaining a good family relationship may matter more to women’s feelings of loneliness. Further, our findings add to the literature by providing some of the first evidence that women might be more susceptible to the impairment of relationship quality and subsequently increased loneliness triggered by an unexpected event such as the pandemic. In addition, non-Hispanic Whites who reported not enough in-person contact with non-household people were a 1.5 times higher probability to report increased loneliness than other race/ethnic groups (38% vs. 26%). As discussed earlier, COVID-19 and its unintended consequences may have increased loneliness more for older White adults than other groups, partly due to the primary focus of social distancing policies’ on restricting nonhousehold networks (e.g. friendship) than family networks. While further study is required for a better understanding of the observed sociodemographic differences, these findings emphasized the heterogeneous experience of social isolation and loneliness across subgroups of older adults. Our findings also point out the importance of considering different social motives and primary focus on social connections by sociodemographic factors in relation to one’s subjective feelings of social isolation. There is a need to identify how and what specific areas of social connections are influenced by the COVID-19 restrictions for diverse demographic subpopulations, rather than treating older adults as a homogenous group.

Limitations

There are several limitations to be noted when interpreting the study findings. First, our use of the cross-sectional data does not allow for drawing any causal conclusion, though respondents were specifically asked to report how their feelings of loneliness had changed since the start of the pandemic. Second, we could not differentiate between people who answered “no” to questions on limited family social gatherings because they were not able to attend or because they did not have any social gatherings to attend. Third, though we suspect the associations we observed differ by race/ethnicity, we could not conduct subgroup analyses due to small sample sizes of some racial/ethnic minority subgroups (i.e., non-Hispanic Blacks, Hispanics, American Indian, Alaskan Native, Asian, and Pacific Islander). Future research with a larger sample is needed to understand more nuanced associations between social connections during COVID-19 and increased loneliness depending on one’s racial/ethnic background.

Conclusion

The COVID-19 pandemic has amplified the long-standing problems of social isolation and loneliness among the older population. However, this unprecedented situation offers a unique opportunity to observe how people’s feelings of isolation and loneliness may change following an abrupt change in their social connectedness. Our study showed that changes in structural, functional, and quality aspects of social connection during the pandemic substantially increased the risk of feeling lonelier among older adults. Group differences by age, gender, race/ethnicity, and education were found not only for the prevalence of reporting increased loneliness but also for which aspects of social connection are more affected due to COVID-19. We further found that each aspect of social connection was associated with increased loneliness differently across sociodemographic groups. These findings are based on the data collected in the early phase of COVID-19 when the social distancing measures were heavily implemented, so the associations we found may not hold as COVID-19 moves towards endemic. However, individuals continue to practice social distancing measures for new surges and will likely do so for contagious viruses in the future. Our findings, thus, are informative in rethinking the public health policies to allow older adults to be together safely, protecting them from such viruses but also from social isolation.

Conflict of interest

The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

Description of authors’ roles

Eun Young Choi planned the study, performed statistical analysis, and wrote and revised the paper. Matthew Farina contributed to study planning, paper writing, and paper revision. Erfei Zhao contributed to literature review and paper revision. Jennifer Ailshire contributed to study planning and paper revision.

Acknowledgements

This study was supported by funding from the National Institutes of Health; National Institute on Aging [grant numbers T32-AG000037 and P30-AG017265]. Data used in this study are publicly available from the Health and Retirement Study website: https://hrs.isr.umich.edu/. Study materials and program codes to create analytic data sets shall be made available upon request through the first author’s email. The current research was not preregistered in an independent, institutional registry.

Supplementary material

To view supplementary material for this article, please visit https://doi.org/10.1017/S1041610222001107

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Figure 0

Figure 1. Theoretical framework on how COVID-19 pandemic may have led to changes in three aspects of social connections and loneliness.

Figure 1

Table 1. Descriptive characteristics of study variables (N = 3,804)

Figure 2

Figure 2. Sociodemographic differences in feeling lonely compared to before COVID-19. (a) Age groups, p = .01. (b) Gender groups, p < .001. (c) Racial/ethnic groups, p < .001. (d) Education groups, p < .001. Note. Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals.

Figure 3

Figure 3. The effects of changes in social connection on increased loneliness. (A) Structural aspect. (B) Functional aspect. (C) Quality aspect. Note. The graphs are based on the logistic models predicting increased loneliness by the social connection indicators, controlling for sociodemographic factors. Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals. Colored bars indicate the significant effects at the significance threshold set at p < .05. Full results are presented in Supplemental Table 1.

Figure 4

Figure 4. Sociodemographic differences in the effects of changes in social connection on increased loneliness during the COVID-19. (a) Age groups, OR = 0.40 (95% CI = 0.19–0.83), p = .014. (b) Gender groups, OR = 1.99 (95% CI = 1.07–3.71), p = .030. (c) Racial/ethnic groups, OR = 0.21 (95% CI = 0.10–0.44), p < .001. Note. All interaction models control for other sociodemographic and social connection covariates. For interaction effects, the nominal significance threshold is set at p < .05 with the Bonferroni-corrected significance threshold calculated as p < .003. The graphs show the predicted probability of reporting increased loneliness estimated from the interaction models. Error bars represent 95% confidence intervals. Further, significant interaction terms were examined by post hoc pairwise comparisons of marginal predictions. Two sets of p values were reported: (a) bottom pairs of p values show the within-group differences in the effects of each social connection indicator on loneliness; (b) upper p values show the differences in the group differences. For post hoc comparisons, the nominal significance threshold is set at p < .05 with the Bonferroni-corrected significance threshold calculated as p < .025.

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