Analysis of The Effect of Government Bonds (SBN) Financing on Indonesia's Poverty Level): at The Time of Normal and at The Time of The Covid-19 Pandemic (2020-2022)

Authors

  • Badrul Arifin Tenaga Ahli AKD Komisi XI DPR RI
  • Dimas Wisnu Ashari DNVB Institute

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.22212/jbudget.v8i1.156

Keywords:

SBN, pandemic, poverty

Abstract

When the country is experiencing a fiscal deficit, especially during a crisis, the issuance of government bonds is considered a necessity, predominantly to finance productive sectors. This paper aims to analyze the effect of financing originating from Government Bonds (SBN) on poverty levels in Indonesia. The analysis is carried out over a period from normal times (2012-2019) to the Covid-19 pandemic crisis (2020-2022). The method of this study is explanatory research through a quantitative approach and multiple linear regression in this study using SPSS 25. The findings from this study are that there has been an increase in SBN and government allocation on social assistance spending. Generally, social assistance policies have also proven effective in reducing the percentage of poverty in the entire community, especially rural communities, yet have not been able to reduce urban poverty. Meanwhile, at the time of the Covid 19 Pandemic, the increase of SBN cannot automatically eradicate poverty, as the social assistance budget does not significantly affect the percentage of poverty in urban areas.

References

Acemoglu, D., Simon Johnson, J. R., dan Thaicharoen, Y. (2003). Institutional Causes and Macroeconomic Symptoms: Volatility, Crises, and Growth. Journal of Monetary Economics. Volume 50, Issue 1, January 2003, Pages 49-123

Ardagna, S. dan Caselli, Fransesco. The Political Economy of the Greek Debt Crisis: A Tale of Two Bailouts. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics. Vol. 6, No. 4 (October 2014), pp. 291-323 (33 pages)

Asteriou, D., Pilbeam, K., dan Pratiwi, C. E. (2021). Public Debt and Economic Growth: Panel Data Evidence for Asian Countries. Journal of Economics and Finance, 45, 270–287. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12197-020-09515-7

Badan Pusat Statistik. (2022). Persentase Penduduk Miskin September 2022 naik menjadi 9,57 persen. Diakses dari https://www.bps.go.id/pressrelease/2023/01/16/2015/persentase-penduduk-miskin-september-2022-naik-menjadi-9-57-persen.html#:~:text=Jumlah%20penduduk%20miskin%20pada%20September,53%20persen%20pada%20September%202022 pada 1 Juni 2023.

Badan Pusat Statistik. (2023). Persentase Rencana Anggaran Untuk Belanja Fungsi Perlindungan Sosial Pemerintah Pusat. Diakses dari (Persen). Diakses dari https://www.bps.go.id/indikator/indikator/view_data/0000/data/1611/sdgs_10/1 pada 1 Juni 2023.

Balvociute, R. (2020). Social Assistance for Poverty Reduction in the EU Countries: An Aspect of Socio-Economic Sustainability. European Journal of Sustainable Development. 9(1), 469. https://doi.org/10.14207/ejsd.2020.v9n1p469

Bank Indonesia (2023). Paparan Bank Indonesia: Konsistensi, Inovasi, dan Sinergi Memajukan Perekonomian Nasional. Disampaikan pada Fit and Proper Test Komisi XI DPR RI. 20 Maret 2023.

Barrientos, A. (2011). Social Protection and Poverty. International Journal of Social Welfare. Vol. 20, No. 3. pp. 240-249 https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2397.2011.00783.x

Burnside, C. (2005). Fiscal Sustainability in Theory and Practice: A Handbook. World Bank. Washington DC

Caner, Mehmet and Grennes, Thomas J. and Koehler-Geib, Fritzi N. (2010). Finding the Tipping Point - When Sovereign Debt Turns Bad. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1612407 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1612407

Catao, L. A., dan Terrones, M. (2005). Fiscal Deficits and Inflation. Journal of Monetary Elsevier, vol. 52(3), pages 529-554, April.

Direktorat Jenderal Pengelolaan Pembiayaan dan Risiko/DJPPR (2023). Paparan Evaluasi Kegiatan TA 2022 dan RKA RKA TA 2023 DJPPR. Disampaikan pada RDP dengan Komisi XI DPR RI. 2 Maret 2023.

Dufrénot, G., Gente, K., dan Monsia, F. (2016). Macroeconomic Imbalances, Financial Stress and Fiscal Vulnerability in The Euro Area Before The Debt Crises: A market view. Journal of International Money and Finance, 67, 123–146

Fournier, J.-M., Hisanaga, T., dan; Nguyen, A. D. M. (2022, August). The Fiscal Stance in Japan. International Monetary Fund. Retrieved April 8, 2023, https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2022/164/001.2022.issue-164-en.xml

Hanoatubun, S. (2020). Dampak Covid – 19 terhadap Prekonomian Indonesia. Journal of Education, Psychology, and Counseling,, 146-153

Hutaria, T., Juanda, B., dan Purnamadewi, Y. L. (2021). The Effect of Government Debt on Indonesia’s Economics Growth. International Journal of Scientific Research in Science, Engineering, and Technology (IJSRSET), 6(5), 125–130.

Juanda, B. dan Gladiola, S. (2022). Analisis Keberlanjutan Serta Pengaruh Surat Berharga Negara dan Faktor Lainnya Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Di Indonesia. Indonesian Treasury Review: Jurnal Perbendaharaan, Keuangan Negara dan Kebijakan Publik, 7(3), 239-254.

Junaedi, D. (2018). Hubungan Antara Utang Luar Negeri dengan Perekonomian dan Kemiskinan: Komparasi Antar Rezim Pemerintahan. Jurnal BPPK, 563-387.

Melati, A. M., Sudrajat, dan Burhany, D. I. (2021). Pengaruh Belanja Pendidikan, Belanja Kesehatan Dan Belanja Bantuan Sosial Terhadap Kemiskinan Pada Kabupaten Dan Kota di Provinsi Jawa Barat. Indonesian Accounting Research Journal.

Mi, Y. (2008). Social Assistance and Poverty Reduction in China. China Journal of Social Work. Volume 1, 2008 - Issue 2, Pages 189-194. https://doi.org/10.1080/17525090802109703

Normasyhuri, K., Budimansyah, dan Triyadi, E. (2022). Dampak Penerbitan Surat Utang Negara (SUN) dan Surat Berharga Syariah Negara (SBSN) Pada Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia Era Pandemi Covid-19: Tinjauan Ekonomi Islam. Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Islam.

Nyathi, L., Chinyakata, R. and Gwatimba, L. (2022). Social Protection Responsive Measures to Mitigate Adverse Socioeconomic Effects of COVID-19 in Southern Africa. Emerald Publishing Limited, Bingley, pp. 11-26. https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-80117-686-620221003.

Ryandini, T. (2014). Pengaruh Dana Investasi Melalui Instrumen SUN dan SBSN terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia. Al-Iqtishad: Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Syariah, 6(1), 73–84. https://doi.org/10.15408/aiq.v6i1.1369

Samputra, P. L. (2019). Efektivitas Bantuan Sosial Dalam Penanggulangan Kemiskinan Di Tengah Perlambatan Ekonomi Indonesia Dengan Pendekatan Nonparametrik. Jurnal Perspektif Ekonomi Darussalam.

Sinaga, E., Lubis, T., Situmorang, E., dan Harahap, A. (2022). Dampak Program Perlindungan Sosial terhadap Kemiskinan di Sumatra Utara. Jurnal Manajemen Perbendaharaan, 3(2), 116-131. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.33105/jmp.v3i2.416

SMERU, 2021. Situasi Kemiskinan Selama Pandemi: The SMERU Research Institute. (2021, July 26). Retrieved April 9, 2023, from https://smeru.or.id/id/article-id/situasi-kemiskinan-selama-pandemi

Sumner, Andy; Ortiz-Juarez, Eduardo dan Hoy, Christopher. (2021). Measuring Global Poverty Before and During The Pandemic: A Political Economy of Over-Optimism. Journal of Third World Quarterly. Volume 43, 2022 - Issue.https://doi.org/10.1080/01436597.2021.1995712

World Bank. 2021. Updated estimates of the impact of covid-19 on global poverty: Turning the corner on the pandemic in 2021? World Bank Blogs. (n.d.). Retrieved April 1, 2023, from https://blogs.worldbank.org/opendata/updated-estimates-impact-covid-19-global-poverty-turning-corner-pandemic-2021

Published

10-07-2023

How to Cite

Arifin, B., & Ashari, D. W. (2023). Analysis of The Effect of Government Bonds (SBN) Financing on Indonesia’s Poverty Level): at The Time of Normal and at The Time of The Covid-19 Pandemic (2020-2022). Jurnal Budget : Isu Dan Masalah Keuangan Negara, 8(1), 85–99. https://doi.org/10.22212/jbudget.v8i1.156