Maintenance Notice

Due to necessary scheduled maintenance, the JMIR Publications website will be unavailable from Wednesday, July 01, 2020 at 8:00 PM to 10:00 PM EST. We apologize in advance for any inconvenience this may cause you.

Who will be affected?

Accepted for/Published in: JMIR Medical Informatics

Date Submitted: Oct 13, 2020
Date Accepted: Jan 15, 2021
Date Submitted to PubMed: Jan 18, 2021

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

Deep Learning Models for Predicting Severe Progression in COVID-19-Infected Patients: Retrospective Study

Ho TT, Park J, Kim T, Park B, Lee J, Kim JY, Kim KB, Choi S, Kim YH, Lim JK, Choi S

Deep Learning Models for Predicting Severe Progression in COVID-19-Infected Patients: Retrospective Study

JMIR Med Inform 2021;9(1):e24973

DOI: 10.2196/24973

PMID: 33455900

PMCID: 7850779

Deep Learning Models for Predicting Severe Progression in COVID-19-infected Patients

  • Thao Thi Ho; 
  • Jongmin Park; 
  • Taewoo Kim; 
  • Byunggeon Park; 
  • Jaehee Lee; 
  • Jin Young Kim; 
  • Ki Beom Kim; 
  • Sooyoung Choi; 
  • Young Hwan Kim; 
  • Jae-Kwang Lim; 
  • Sanghun Choi

ABSTRACT

Background:

Many COVID-19 patients rapidly progress into respiratory failure with a broad range of severity. Identification of the high-risk cases is critical for early intervention.

Objective:

The aim of this study is to develop deep learning models that can rapidly diagnose high-risk COVID-19 patients based on computed tomography (CT) images and clinical data.

Methods:

We analyzed 297 COVID-19 patients from five hospitals in Daegu, South Korea. A mixed model (ACNN) including an artificial neural network for clinical data and a convolution-neural network for 3D CT imaging data is developed to classify high-risk cases with a severe progression (event) from low-risk COVID-19 patients (event-free).

Results:

By using the mixed ACNN model, we could obtain high classification performance using novel coronavirus pneumonia (NCP) lesion images (93.9% accuracy, 80.8% sensitivity, 96.9% specificity, and 0.916 AUC) and using lung segmentation images (94.3% accuracy, 74.7% sensitivity, 95.9% specificity, and 0.928 AUC) for event vs. event-free groups.

Conclusions:

Our study has successfully differentiated high-risk cases among COVID-19 patients using the imaging and clinical features of COVID-19 patients. The developed model is potentially utilized as a prediction tool for intervening active therapy.


 Citation

Please cite as:

Ho TT, Park J, Kim T, Park B, Lee J, Kim JY, Kim KB, Choi S, Kim YH, Lim JK, Choi S

Deep Learning Models for Predicting Severe Progression in COVID-19-Infected Patients: Retrospective Study

JMIR Med Inform 2021;9(1):e24973

DOI: 10.2196/24973

PMID: 33455900

PMCID: 7850779

Download PDF


Request queued. Please wait while the file is being generated. It may take some time.

© The authors. All rights reserved. This is a privileged document currently under peer-review/community review (or an accepted/rejected manuscript). Authors have provided JMIR Publications with an exclusive license to publish this preprint on it's website for review and ahead-of-print citation purposes only. While the final peer-reviewed paper may be licensed under a cc-by license on publication, at this stage authors and publisher expressively prohibit redistribution of this draft paper other than for review purposes.

Advertisement