Examining the effects of COVID-19 on logistics and supply chain networks in Oman

Authors

  • Ashraf Mishrif, PhD
  • Asharul Khan, PhD

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5055/jem.0721

Keywords:

COVID-19, lockdown, logistics, supply chain, operations, economic impact, Oman

Abstract

Our study analyzes the economic impact of COVID-19 and its subsequent border closure and the lockdown on the logistics, transportation services, and supply chain networks, most notably the closure of industrial complexes, commercial centers, and loss of jobs and businesses. As the pandemic disruption of the global supply chains reached its peak in the Middle East region, with approximately 22 percent decline in turnover of goods transport companies in 2020, we empirically assess the impact of this decline on the revenue, demand of services, operation, wages, and employments in the logistics companies in the Sultanate of Oman. Methodologically, we employ the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test, McNemar’s test, and Wilcoxon Signed- Ranks test to analyze the primary data collected from 61 survey questionnaire responses and 20 interviews of senior executives of these companies. Our results reveal unfavorable pandemic externalities on the surveyed companies’ balance sheet, demand for services, operational capacity, wage payments, and employee layoffs. We also observed strong correlations between the timely goods delivery and customs clearance and material shortages, and between customs clearance and material shortages. Our findings have practical implications for company executives to lessen the effects of the pandemic on the reduction of company income, service demand, operational capacity, salary payments, and employee layoffs. Policymakers must develop appropriate policy measures to enhance port competitiveness and improve customs procedures and service delivery.

Author Biographies

Ashraf Mishrif, PhD

OCCI Chair in Economic Studies, Humanities Research Center, Sultan Qaboos University, Muscat Sultanate of Oman

Asharul Khan, PhD

Post-Doctoral Research Fellow, Humanities Research Center, Sultan Qaboos University, Muscat Sultanate of Oman

References

Radic A, Lück M, Ariza-Montes A, et al.: Fear and trembling of cruise ship employees: Psychological effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. IJERPH. 2020; 17(18): 6741-6717.

Sahu A, Naqvi WM: Floating countries and corona pandemic: Impact of COVID-19 on stranded cruise ships. Int J Res Pharmaceut Sci. 2020; 11(1): 219-223.

Huang J, Wang H, Fan M, et al.: Understanding the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on transportation-related behaviors with human mobility data. 26th ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery & Data Mining, 2020.

Kavan S: Selected social impacts and measures resulting from the COVID-19 epidemic in the Czech Republic on the specific example of the South bohemian region. Health Soc Care Commun. 2021; 29(5): 224-231.

Zhang Y, Fricker JD: Quantifying the impact of COVID-19 on non-motorized transportation: A Bayesian structural time series model. Transport Policy. 2021; 103(2021): 11-20.

Brown KL: Emergency preparedness during a global pandemic: Individual preparedness for COVID-19. J Emerg Manag. 2021; 18(7): 99-113.

Hertelendy AJ: COVID-19 pandemic: An analysis of what is working, what we have learned thus far, and the challenges that remain ahead. J Emerg Manag. 2020; 18(7): 7-8.

International Road Transport Union (IRU): Global Recovery on the Line as Road Transport Losses Escalate [Online]. Geneva: International Road Transport Union (IRU), 2020. Available at https://www.iru.org/resources/newsroom/global-recovery-line-roadtransport-losses-escalate. Accessed December 5, 2020.

PricewaterhouseCoopers: PwC US CFO pulse survey. 2020. Available at https://www.pwc.com/us/en/library/COVID-19/pwc-COVID-19-cfo-pulse-survey.html. Accessed October 10, 2020.

Gren C: Airline industry on the brink of collapse with no aid in sight [online]. 2020. Available at https://www.industryleadersmagazine.com/airline-industry-on-the-brink-of-collapse-with-no-aid-insight/. Accessed October 10, 2020.

Andreana G, Gualini A, Martini G, et al.: The disruptive impact of COVID-19 on air transportation: An ITS econometric analysis. Res Transport Econ. 2021; 90(101042): 1-9.

Staples M: Coronavirus’ Business Impact: Evolving Perspective | McKinsey [Online], New York: McKinsey Company, 2020. Available at https://www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/risk/our-insights/COVID-19-implications-for-business. Accessed October 25, 2020.

Sathyanarayana A, Shukla N, Taghikhah F: Modelling the impact of COVID-19 pandemic on a hardware retail supply chain. In IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management (IEEM). Singapore: IEEE Computer Society, 2020: 807-811.

Schleper MC, Gold S, Trautrims A, et al.: Pandemic-induced knowledge gaps in operations and supply chain management: COVID-19’s impacts on retailing. IJOPM. 2021; 41(3): 193-205.

Sharma A, Adhikary A, Borah SB: COVID-19’s impact on supply chain decisions: Strategic insights for NASDAQ 100 firms using twitter data. J Busi Res. 2020; 117(2020): 443-447.

Subramanian G, Khanani RU, Pandey SK: Post-COVID-19: Possible impacts on resiliency, degree of risk in food supply chain. In International Conference on Computational Intelligence and Knowledge Economy (ICCIKE). Dubai, United Arab Emirates: IEEE, 2021.

Agility: Coronavirus COVID-19 air freight operational updates | agility. 2020. Available at https://logisticsinsights.agility.com/COVID19/air-freight/. Accessed October 10, 2020.

Bollore Logistics: COVID-19 impact update. 2020. Available at https://www.bollore-logistics.com/en/Pages/COVID-19.aspx. Accessed October 10, 2020.

Al Makhmari T, Pender D, Al Ghaithy S, et al.: Briefings from Oman logistics. 2016. Available at https://ithraa.om/portals/0/IthraaPDF/Brochures/PDF/ithraa_briefings_logistics_eng_AW.pdf. Accessed January 2, 2021.

International Road Transport Union (IRU): Impacts on the Road Transport Industry—Executive Summary [Online]. Geneva: International Road Transport Union (IRU), 2020. Available at www.iru.org/resources/iru-library/COVID-19-impacts-road-transportindustry-executive-summary. Accessed December 5, 2020.

Abu-Rayash A, Dincer I: Analysis of mobility trends during the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic: Exploring the impacts on global aviation and travel in selected cities. Energy Res Soc Sci. 2020; 68(2020): 101693-101699.

Egger PH, Zhu J: How COVID-19 travels in- and outside of value chains and then affects the stock market: Evidence from China. World Econ. 2022; 45: 523-538.

Garlick C, McMillan M, Peterson R, et al.: Case study review of the effects of COVID-19 on the supply chain of manufacturing companies in California. In 5th North American International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management. Michigan, USA: IEOM Society, 2020.

Castañeda-Navarrete J, Hauge J, López-Gómez C: COVID-19 impacts on global value chains, as seen in the apparel industry. Dev Policy Rev. 2021; 39: 953-970.

Yoo J-H, Park S-K, Cheong I-K: The impact of COVID-19 and Korea’s new Southern policy on its global value chain. J Korea Trade. 2020; 24(8): 19-38.

Sen S, Antara N, Sen S, et al.: The unprecedented pandemic “COVID-19” effect on the apparel workers by shivering the apparel supply chain. J Textile Apparel Technol Manag. 2020; 11(3): 1-20.

Ivanov D: Predicting the impacts of epidemic outbreaks on global supply chains: A simulation-based analysis on the coronavirus outbreak (COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2) case. Transport Res E Logist Transport Rev. 2020; 136(2020): 101922-101914.

Abbas HSM, Xu X, Sun C: COVID-19 pandemic, government response, and policy implications in China, India, Iran, and Pakistan (CIIP). J Emerg Manag. 2021; 18(7): 49-61.

Sharma A, Gupta P, Jha R: COVID-19: Impact on health supply chain and lessons to be learnt. J Health Manag. 2020; 22(2): 248-261.

Cantore N, Hartwich F, Lavopa A, et al.: Coronavirus: The Economic Impact—10 July 2020 | UNIDO. Vienna: United Nations Industrial Development Organization, 2020. Available at https://www.unido.org/stories/coronavirus-economic-impact-10-july-2020. Accessed October 25, 2020.

Derevyankina ES, Yankovskaya DG: The impact of COVID-19 on supply chain management and global economy development. Int J Supply Chain Manag. 2020; 9(4): 765-774.

Belton B, Rosen L, Middleton L, et al.: COVID-19 impacts and adaptations in Asia and Africa’s aquatic food value chains. Mar Policy. 2021; 129(2021): 104523-104513.

Nordhagen S, Igbeka U, Rowlands H, et al.: COVID-19 and small enterprises in the food supply chain: Early impacts and implications for longer-term food system resilience in low- and middle-income countries. World Dev. 2021; 141(2021): 105405.

Nchanji EB, Lutomia CK, Chirwa R, et al.: Immediate impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on bean value chain in selected countries in Sub-Saharan Africa. Agric Syst. 2021; 188(2021): 103034-103013.

Arouna A, Soullier G, Del Villar PM, et al.: Policy options for mitigating impacts of COVID-19 on domestic rice value chains and food security in West Africa. Global Food Secur. 2020; 26(2020): 100405-100405.

Arellana J, Márquez L, Cantillo V: COVID-19 outbreak in Colombia: An analysis of its impacts on transport systems. J Adv Transport. 2020; 2020: 1-16.

Kayak: Coronavirus (COVID-19) travel restrictions by country. 2020. Available at https://www.ca.kayak.com/travel-restrictions. Accessed October 10, 2020.

Rahman N, Rahim S, Ahmad M, et al.: Exploring COVID-19 pandemic: Its impact to global aviation industry and the key strategy. Int J Adv Sci Technol. 2020; 29(2020): 1829-1836.

International Civil Aviation Organization: Revenue Loss of Airports [Online]. Montreal: International Civil Aviation Organization, 2020. Available at https://data.icao.int/icads/. Accessed December 20, 2020.

Maneenop S, Kotcharin S: The impacts of COVID-19 on the global airline industry: An event study approach. J Air Transport Manag. 2020; 89(2020): 101920-101910.

Official Aviation Guide: Airlines Seat Capacity [Online]. Official Aviation Guide (OAG), 2020. Available at https://www.oag.com/coronavirus-airline-schedules-data. Accessed December 19, 2020.

Nižetic´ S: Impact of coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic on air transport mobility, energy, and environment: A case study. Int J Energy Res. 2020; 44(2020): 10953-10961.

Meng F, Gong W, Liang J, et al.: Impact of different control policies for COVID-19 outbreak on the air transportation industry: A comparison between China, the US and Singapore. PLoS One. 2021; 16(3): e0248361.

Munawar HS, Khan SI, Qadir Z, et al.: Insight into the impact of COVID-19 on Australian transportation sector: An economic and community-based perspective. Sustainability. 2021; 13(3): 1276-1224.

Belhadi A, Kamble S, Jabbour CJC, et al.: Manufacturing and service supply chain resilience to the COVID-19 outbreak: Lessons learned from the automobile and airline industries. Technol Forecast Soc Change. 2021; 163(2021): 120447-120419.

National Center for Statistical Institute: Annual Report [Online]. Muscat: National Center for Statistical Institute Oman (NCSI), 2020. Available at https://www.ncsi.gov.om/Pages/NCSI.aspx Accessed December 10, 2020.

Choi TM, Cheng T, Zhao X: Multi-methodological research in operations management. Prod Oper Manag. 2016; 25(3): 379-389.

Gavoni P, Edmonds WA, Kennedy TD, et al.: Data on the data: A method for improving the fidelity of office discipline referral completion. J Teacher Action Res. 2017; 3(2): 30-44.

Massey FJ Jr: The Kolmogorov-Smirnov test for goodness of fit. J Am Stat Assoc. 1951; 46(253): 68-78.

McNemar Q: Note on the sampling error of the difference between correlated proportions or percentages. Psychometrika. 1947; 12(2): 153-157.

Edwards AL: Note on the “correction for continuity” in testing the significance of the difference between correlated proportions. Psychometrika. 1948; 13(3): 185-187.

Woolson RF: Wilcoxon Signed Rank test. Wiley Encyclopedia of Clinical Trials. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2007: 1-3.

Myers JL, Well AD, Lorch RF Jr: Research Design and Statistical Analysis. Milton Park: Routledge, 2013.

Xu Z, Elomri A, Kerbache L, et al.: Impacts of COVID-19 on global supply chains: Facts and perspectives. IEEE Eng Manag Rev. 2020; 48(3): 153-166.

Deconinck K, Avery E, Jackson LA: Food supply chains and COVID-19: Impacts and policy lessons. EuroChoices. 2020; 19(3): 34-39.

Strong S, Delzell P, Trygstad W, et al.: The impact of COVID-19 on the pharmaceutical supply chain. In 5th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management. Michigan, USA: IEOM Society, 2020.

Cai M, Luo J: Influence of COVID-19 on manufacturing industry and corresponding countermeasures from supply chain perspective. J Shanghai Jiaotong Univ (Sci). 2020; 25(4): 409-416.

Choi T-M: Innovative “bring-service-near-your-home” operations under corona-virus (COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2) outbreak: Can logistics become the messiah? Transport Res E Logist Transport Rev. 2020; 140(2020): 101961-101917.

Butt AS: Understanding the implications of pandemic outbreaks on supply chains: an exploratory study of the effects caused by the COVID-19 across four South Asian countries and steps taken by firms to address the disruptions. Int J Phys Distri Logis Manage. 2022; 52(4): 370-392.

Goel RK, Saunoris JW, Goel SS: Supply chain performance and economic growth: The impact of COVID-19 disruptions. J Policy Model. 2021; 43(2): 298-316.

Mogaji E: Impact of COVID-19 on transportation in Lagos, Nigeria. Transport Res Interdiscipl Perspect. 2020; 6(2020): 100154-100157.

Qin X, Godil DI, Khan MK, et al.: Investigating the effects of COVID-19 and public health expenditure on global supply chain operations: An empirical study. Oper Manag Res. 2021; 1-13. DOI: 10.1007/s12063-020-00177-6.

Aviation Pro: Relief is critical for Middle east airlines as COVID-19 impact deepens. 2020. Available at https://www.aviationpros.com/airlines/press-release/21135251/international-airtransport-association-iata-relief-is-critical-for-middle-east-airlinesas-covid19-impact-deepens. Accessed October 10, 2020.

Bian Z, Zuo F, Gao J, et al.: Time lag effects of COVID-19 policies on transportation systems: A comparative study of New York city and Seattle. Transport Res A: Policy Practice. 2021; 145(2021): 269-283.

Harriman C, Diaz-Infante M, Loayza T, et al.: Effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the grocery retail supply chains. 5th International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management. Michigan, USA: IEOM Society, 2020.

Downloads

Published

02/28/2023

How to Cite

Mishrif, PhD, A., and A. Khan, PhD. “Examining the Effects of COVID-19 on Logistics and Supply Chain Networks in Oman”. Journal of Emergency Management, vol. 21, no. 7, Feb. 2023, pp. 289-06, doi:10.5055/jem.0721.