All-Cause Mortality During Sars-Cov-2 Pandemic in India: Nationally-Representative Estimates Independent of Official Death Registry

13 Pages Posted: 30 Jul 2021

See all articles by Sabareesh Ramachandran

Sabareesh Ramachandran

University of California, San Diego (UCSD)

Anup Malani

University of Chicago - Law School; National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER); University of Chicago Pritzker School of Medicine; Resources for the Future

Date Written: July 28, 2021

Abstract

We estimate excess deaths in India during the COVID pandemic using monthly deaths in the sample of a privately-conducted, nationally-representative, large, panel data set. The data set includes roughly 174,000 households (1.2 million members) and spans January 2015 - June 2021. We estimate COVID is associated with 3.36 million (95% CI: 2.08-4.63 million) excess deaths, a 17.3% increase in the all-cause death rate, until April 2021. Excess deaths spike during the peaks of the 2 infection waves in India. The second wave is associated with significantly more excess deaths than the first. The age-pattern of deaths is skewed towards the elderly relative to baseline. 

Suggested Citation

Ramachandran, Sabareesh and Malani, Anup, All-Cause Mortality During Sars-Cov-2 Pandemic in India: Nationally-Representative Estimates Independent of Official Death Registry (July 28, 2021). University of Chicago, Becker Friedman Institute for Economics Working Paper No. 2021-93, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3894713 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3894713

Sabareesh Ramachandran

University of California, San Diego (UCSD) ( email )

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Anup Malani (Contact Author)

University of Chicago - Law School ( email )

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773-702-0730 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.law.uchicago.edu/faculty/malani/

National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER)

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University of Chicago Pritzker School of Medicine

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Resources for the Future

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