Building back better: The COVID-19 pandemic and transport policy implications for a developing megacity

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2021.102864Get rights and content

Highlights

  • Mobility behavior during 6 months of lockdown in Metro Manila is analyzed.

  • Changepoints in location patterns are determined.

  • Differences in driving, transit, and walking trips are examined.

  • Three transport policy implications are outlined and discussed.

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected human mobility via lockdowns, social distancing rules, home quarantines, and the full or partial suspension of transportation. Evidence-based policy recommendations are urgently needed to ensure that transport systems have resilience to future pandemic outbreaks, particularly within Global South megacities where demand for public transport is high and reduced access can exacerbate socio-economic inequalities. This study focuses on Metro Manila – a characteristic megacity that experienced one of the most stringent lockdowns worldwide. It analyzes aggregated cell phone and GPS data from Google and Apple that provide a comprehensive representation of mobility behavior before and during the lockdown. While significant decreases are observed for all transport modes, public transport experienced the largest drop (−74.5 %, on average). The study demonstrates that: (i) those most reliant on public transport were disproportionately affected by lockdowns; (ii) public transport was unable to fulfil its role as public service; and, (iii) this drove a paradigm shift towards active mobility. Moving forwards, in the short-term policymakers must promote active mobility and prioritize public transport to reduce unequal access to transport. Longer-term, policymakers must leverage the increased active transport to encourage modal shift via infrastructure investment, and better utilize big data to support decision-making.

Keywords

COVID-19 response
Mobility behavior
Resilient transport systems
Social equity
Big data analysis
Longitudinal case study

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