Prevalence and Severity of COVID-19 Disease in Bangladesh: A Trend Analysis

Autores

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.12662/2317-3076jhbs.v8i1.3285.p1-8.2020

Palavras-chave:

Novel coronavirus, COVID-19, Outbreak, Pandemic

Resumo

Objective: To investigate the prevalence and changes of events of COVID-19 disease by trending in Bangladesh. Methods: In this study, the daily time series data for nine weeks was used. The daily cases, case fatality rate (CFR), recovery-death-ratio (RDR) and percent changes (PC) associated with COVID-19 disease were used for prevalence and trending. Result: It is found that 68% males and 32% females patients were infected, among them 21 to 30 (26%) was the most and below 10 (3%) was the least infected age group until May 09. The approximate number of days for the infection, recovery and deaths to be doubled are 10, 5 and 18 respectively in Bangladesh as of May 09, 2020. The CFR of Bangladesh is found 1.55% which is less than the CFRs of the world (6.89%), Europe (9.17%), America (5.61%), Africa (3.26%) and South-East Asia (3.52%) as of May 09, 2020. The daily RDR exhibited a downward trend from April 04, 2020 to April 25, 2020 then showed an upward trend until May 09, 2020. Conclusion: The downward trending of the CFR indicates the death rate is low compared to diagnosis. The upward trend of the RDR indicates the recovery caused by COVID-19 is fast compared to deaths over time in Bangladesh. The downward trending of the PC indicates the cases percent of COVID-19 disease is reducing relative to three days prior cases.

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Biografia do Autor

Abdul Muyeed, Jatiya Kabi Kazi Nazrul Islam University, Mymensingh, Bangladesh

Department: Statistics Area: Public Health and Data Mining

Md. Nure Alam Siddiqi, Jatiya Kabi Kazi Nazrul Islam University, Mymensingh, Bangladesh

Department of Population Science and Lecturer

Most. Tawabunnahar, Jatiya Kabi Kazi Nazrul Islam University, Mymensingh, Bangladesh

Department of Statistics and Lecturer

Publicado

2020-06-24