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original article |
Date |
Title |
Authors All Authors |
1 |
[GO] |
2022―May―23 |
Gecko: A time-series model for COVID-19 hospital admission forecasting |
Mark J. Panaggio, Kaitlin Rainwater-Lovett, Paul J. Nicholas, Mike Fang, Hyunseung Bang, Jeffrey Freeman, et al. (+2) Elisha Peterson, Samuel Imbriale |
2 |
[GO] |
2022―May―20 |
A Country-specific Model of COVID-19 Vaccination Coverage Needed For Herd Immunity In Adult Only or Population Wide Vaccination Programme |
Fang Ting Goh, Yi Zhen Chew, Clarence C Tam, Chee Fu Yung, Hannah Clapham |
3 |
[GO] |
2022―May―19 |
A multilayer network model of Covid-19: Implications in public health policy in Costa Rica |
Fabio Sanchez, Juan G. Calvo, Gustavo Mery, Yury E. García, Paola Vásquez, Luis A. Barboza, et al. (+2) María Dolores Pérez, Tania Rivas |
4 |
[GO] |
2022―May―13 |
Epidemiological and genomic findings of the first documented Italian outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Alpha variant |
Laura Amato, Luca Candeloro, Arturo Di Girolamo, Lara Savini, Ilaria Puglia, Maurilia Marcacci, et al. (+12) Marialuigia Caporale, Iolanda Mangone, Cesare Cammà, Annamaria Conte, Giuseppe Torzi, Adamo Mancinelli, Francesca Di Giallonardo, Alessio Lorusso, Giacomo Migliorati, Thomas Schael, Nicola D’Alterio, Paolo Calistri |
5 |
[GO] |
2022―May―07 |
Applying mixture model methods to SARS-CoV-2 serosurvey data from Geneva |
Judith A. Bouman, Sarah Kadelka, Silvia Stringhini, Francesco Pennacchio, Benjamin Meyer, Sabine Yerly, et al. (+5) Laurent Kaiser, Idris Guessous, Andrew S. Azman, Sebastian Bonhoeffer, Roland R. Regoes |
6 |
[GO] |
2022―Apr―22 |
Bayesian sequential data assimilation for COVID-19 forecasting |
Maria L. Daza-Torres, Marcos A. Capistrán, Antonio Capella, J. Andrés Christen |
7 |
[GO] |
2022―Apr―16 |
Modeling the population-level impact of treatment on COVID-19 disease and SARS-CoV-2 transmission |
Monia Makhoul, Farah Abu-Hijleh, Houssein H. Ayoub, Shaheen Seedat, Hiam Chemaitelly, Laith J. Abu-Raddad |
8 |
[GO] |
2022―Apr―09 |
Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 in British Columbia: An age-structured model with time-dependent contact rates |
Sarafa A. Iyaniwura, Rebeca C. Falcão, Notice Ringa, Prince A. Adu, Michelle Spencer, Marsha Taylor, et al. (+5) Caroline Colijn, Daniel Coombs, Naveed Z. Janjua, Michael A Irvine, Michael Otterstatter |
9 |
[GO] |
2022―Apr―09 |
A Wastewater-Based Epidemic Model for SARS-CoV-2 with Application to Three Canadian Cities |
Shokoofeh Nourbakhsh, Aamir Fazil, Michael Li, Chand S. Mangat, Shelley W. Peterson, Jade Daigle, et al. (+10) Stacie Langner, Jayson Shurgold, Patrick D’Aoust, Robert Delatolla, Elizabeth Mercier, Xiaoli Pang, Bonita E. Lee, Rebecca Stuart, Shinthuja Wijayasri, David Champredon |
10 |
[GO] |
2022―Apr―06 |
Estimating COVID-19 cases and deaths prevented by non-pharmaceutical interventions, and the impact of individual actions: A retrospective model-based analysis |
Kathyrn R. Fair, Vadim A. Karatayev, Madhur Anand, Chris T. Bauch |
11 |
[GO] |
2022―Mar―12 |
Percolation across households in mechanistic models of non-pharmaceutical interventions in SARS-CoV-2 disease dynamics |
Caroline Franco, Leonardo Souto Ferreira, Vítor Sudbrack, Marcelo Eduardo Borges, Silas Poloni, Lisa J. White, et al. (+4) Paulo Inácio Prado, Ricardo Águas, Roberto André Kraenkel, Renato Mendes Coutinho |
12 |
[GO] |
2022―Mar―09 |
Variability in transmission risk of SARS-CoV-2 in close contact settings: A contact tracing study in Shandong Province, China |
Tim K. Tsang, Li-Qun Fang, Anran Zhang, Fa-Chun Jiang, Shi-Man Ruan, Lan-Zheng Liu, et al. (+3) Benjamin J. Cowling, Wei Liu, Yang Yang |
13 |
[GO] |
2022―Mar―02 |
Recalibrating the notion of modelling for policymaking during pandemics |
Yot Teerawattananon, KC Sarin, Y-Ling Chi, Saudamini Dabak, Joseph Kazibwe, Hannah Clapham, et al. (+12) Claudia Lopez, Gabriel Leung, Hamid Sharifi, Mahlet Habtemariam, Mark Blecher, Sania Nishtar, Swarup Sarkar, David Wilson, Kalipso Chalkidou, Marelize Gorgens, Raymond Hutubessy, Suwit Wibulpolprasert |
14 |
[GO] |
2022―Feb―24 |
Rapid assessment of the risk of SARS-CoV-2 importation to Australia in February 2020 |
Freya M. Shearer, James Walker, Nefel Tellioglu, James M. McCaw, Jodie McVernon, Andrew Black, Nicholas Geard |
15 |
[GO] |
2022―Feb―11 |
Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics |
Mirjam E. Kretzschmar, Ben Ashby, Elizabeth Fearon, Christopher E. Overton, Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths, Lorenzo Pellis, et al. (+8) Matthew Quaife, Ganna Rozhnova, Francesca Scarabel, Helena B Stage, Ben Swallow, Robin N. Thompson, Michael J. Tildesley, Daniel Villela |
16 |
[GO] |
2022―Feb―10 |
Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling |
Paul Birrell, Joshua Blake, Mark Burgman, Peter Challenor, Luc E. Coffeng, Philip Dawid, et al. (+12) Daniela De Angelis, Michael Goldstein, Victoria Hemming, Glenn Marion, Trevelyan J. McKinley, Christopher Overton, Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths, Lorenzo Pellis, Will Probert, Katriona Shea, Daniel Villela, Ian Vernon |
17 |
[GO] |
2022―Jan―19 |
A semi-parametric mixed model for short-term projection of daily COVID-19 incidence in Canada |
Muhammad Abu Shadeque Mullah, Ping Yan |
18 |
[GO] |
2021―Dec―14 |
Impact of vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 dynamics in Switzerland |
Andrew J. Shattock, Epke A. Le Rutte, Robert P. Dünner, Swapnoleena Sen, Sherrie L. Kelly, Nakul Chitnis, Melissa A. Penny |
19 |
[GO] |
2021―Dec―03 |
Existing human mobility data sources poorly predicted the spatial spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Madagascar |
Tanjona Ramiadantsoa, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Antso Hasina Raherinandrasana, Santatra Randrianarisoa, Benjamin L. Rice, Amy Wesolowski, et al. (+2) Fidiniaina Mamy Randriatsarafara, Fidisoa Rasambainarivo |
20 |
[GO] |
2021―Dec―02 |
Precautionary breaks: Planned, limited duration circuit breaks to control the prevalence of SARS-CoV2 and the burden of COVID-19 disease |
Matt J. Keeling, Glen Guyver-Fletcher, Louise Dyson, Michael J. Tildesley, Edward M. Hill, Graham F. Medley |
21 |
[GO] |
2021―Nov―29 |
Cross-sectional cycle threshold values reflect epidemic dynamics of COVID-19 in Madagascar |
Soa Fy Andriamandimby, Cara E. Brook, Norosoa Razanajatovo, Tsiry H. Randriambolamanantsoa, Jean-Marius Rakotondramanga, Fidisoa Rasambainarivo, et al. (+18) Vaomalala Raharimanga, Iony Manitra Razanajatovo, Reziky Mangahasimbola, Richter Razafindratsimandresy, Santatra Randrianarisoa, Barivola Bernardson, Joelinotahiana Hasina Rabarison, Mirella Randrianarisoa, Frédéric Stanley Nasolo, Roger Mario Rabetombosoa, Anne-Marie Ratsimbazafy, Vololoniaina Raharinosy, Aina H. Rabemananjara, Christian H. Ranaivoson, Helisoa Razafimanjato, Rindra Randremanana, Jean-Michel Héraud, Philippe Dussart |
22 |
[GO] |
2021―Nov―25 |
Assessing the risk of cascading COVID-19 outbreaks from prison-to-prison transfers |
Todd L. Parsons, Lee Worden |
23 |
[GO] |
2021―Nov―22 |
Coordinated support for local action: Modeling strategies to facilitate behavior adoption in urban-poor communities of Liberia for sustained COVID-19 suppression |
Laura A. Skrip, Mosoka P. Fallah, Jamie Bedson, Laurent Hébert-Dufresne, Benjamin M. Althouse |
24 |
[GO] |
2021―Nov―20 |
The early phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy |
Danilo Cereda, Mattia Manica, Marcello Tirani, Francesca Rovida, Vittorio Demicheli, Marco Ajelli, et al. (+20) Piero Poletti, Filippo Trentini, Giorgio Guzzetta, Valentina Marziano, Raffaella Piccarreta, Antonio Barone, Michele Magoni, Silvia Deandrea, Giulio Diurno, Massimo Lombardo, Marino Faccini, Angelo Pan, Raffaele Bruno, Elena Pariani, Giacomo Grasselli, Alessandra Piatti, Maria Gramegna, Fausto Baldanti, Alessia Melegaro, Stefano Merler |
25 |
[GO] |
2021―Nov―17 |
A quantitative assessment of epidemiological parameters required to investigate COVID-19 burden |
Agnese Zardini, Margherita Galli, Marcello Tirani, Danilo Cereda, Mattia Manica, Filippo Trentini, et al. (+7) Giorgio Guzzetta, Valentina Marziano, Raffaella Piccarreta, Alessia Melegaro, Marco Ajelli, Piero Poletti, Stefano Merler |
26 |
[GO] |
2021―Nov―15 |
Optimizing COVID-19 control with asymptomatic surveillance testing in a university environment |
Cara E. Brook, Graham R. Northrup, Alexander J. Ehrenberg, Jennifer A. Doudna, Mike Boots |
27 |
[GO] |
2021―Nov―12 |
Assessing the efficacy of interventions to control indoor SARS-Cov-2 transmission: an agent-based modeling approach |
Trevor S. Farthing, Cristina Lanzas |
28 |
[GO] |
2021―Nov―01 |
Rapid transmission of coronavirus disease 2019 within a religious sect in South Korea: a mathematical modeling study |
Jong-Hoon Kim, Hyojung Lee, Yong Sul Won, Woo-Sik Son, Justin Im |
29 |
[GO] |
2021―Oct―30 |
A new logistic growth model applied to COVID-19 fatality data |
S. Triambak, D.P. Mahapatra, N. Mallick, R. Sahoo |
30 |
[GO] |
2021―Oct―26 |
Sustaining effective COVID-19 control in Malaysia through large-scale vaccination |
Pavithra Jayasundara, Kalaiarasu M. Peariasamy, Kian Boon Law, Ku Nurhasni Ku Abd Rahim, Sit Wai Lee, Izzuna Mudla M. Ghazali, et al. (+11) Milinda Abayawardana, Linh-Vi Le, Rukun K.S. Khalaf, Karina Razali, Xuan Le, Zhuo Lin Chong, Emma S McBryde, Michael T Meehan, Jamie M. Caldwell, Romain Ragonnet, James M Trauer |
31 |
[GO] |
2021―Oct―19 |
Globally local: Hyper-local modeling for accurate forecast of COVID-19 |
Vishrawas Gopalakrishnan, Sayali Pethe, Sarah Kefayati, Raman Srinivasan, Paul Hake, Ajay Deshpande, et al. (+5) Xuan Liu, Etter Hoang, Marbelly Davila, Simone Bianco, James H. Kaufman |
32 |
[GO] |
2021―Oct―04 |
Assessing the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Belgium by means of an extended SEIQRD model and public mobility data |
Tijs W. Alleman, Jenna Vergeynst, Lander De Visscher, Michiel Rollier, Elena Torfs, Ingmar Nopens, Jan M. Baetens |
33 |
[GO] |
2021―Sep―27 |
Rational evaluation of various epidemic models based on the COVID-19 data of China |
Wuyue Yang, Dongyan Zhang, Liangrong Peng, Changjing Zhuge, Liu Hong |
34 |
[GO] |
2021―Aug―30 |
Challenges on the interaction of models and policy for pandemic control |
L. Hadley, P. Challenor, C. Dent, V. Isham, D. Mollison, D.A. Robertson, et al. (+2) B. Swallow, C. R Webb |
35 |
[GO] |
2021―Aug―27 |
COVID-19 Belgium: Extended SEIR-QD model with nursing homes and long-term scenarios-based forecasts |
Nicolas Franco |
36 |
[GO] |
2021―Aug―18 |
Dynamic Network Strategies for SARS-CoV-2 Control on a Cruise Ship |
Samuel M. Jenness, Kathryn S. Willebrand, Amyn A. Malik, Benjamin A. Lopman, Saad B. Omer |
37 |
[GO] |
2021―Aug―16 |
Impacts of K-12 school reopening on the COVID-19 epidemic in Indiana, USA |
Guido España, Sean Cavany, Rachel Oidtman, Carly Barber, Alan Costello, Anita Lerch, et al. (+5) Marya Poterek, Quan Tran, Annaliese Wieler, Sean Moore, T. Alex Perkins |
38 |
[GO] |
2021―Aug―11 |
Forecasting COVID-19 infections with the semi-unrestricted Generalized Growth Model |
Pablo Pincheira Brown, Andrea Bentancor |
39 |
[GO] |
2021―Aug―09 |
Quantification of the spread of SARS-CoV-2 variant B.1.1.7 in Switzerland |
Chaoran Chen, Sarah Nadeau, Ivan Topolsky, Marc Manceau, Jana S. Huisman, Kim Philipp Jablonski, et al. (+46) Lara Fuhrmann, David Dreifuss, Katharina Jahn, Christiane Beckmann, Maurice Redondo, Christoph Noppen, Lorenz Risch, Martin Risch, Nadia Wohlwend, Sinem Kas, Thomas Bodmer, Tim Roloff, Madlen Stange, Adrian Egli, Isabella Eckerle, Laurent Kaiser, Rebecca Denes, Mirjam Feldkamp, Ina Nissen, Natascha Santacroce, Elodie Burcklen, Catharine Aquino, Andreia Cabral de Gouvea, Maria Domenica Moccia, Simon Grüter, Timothy Sykes, Lennart Opitz, Griffin White, Laura Neff, Doris Popovic, Andrea Patrignani, Jay Tracy, Ralph Schlapbach, Emmanouil T. Dermitzakis, Keith Harshman, Ioannis Xenarios, Henri Pegeot, Lorenzo Cerutti, Deborah Penet, Anthony Blin, Melyssa Elies, Christian L. Althaus, Christian Beisel, Niko Beerenwinkel, Martin Ackermann, Tanja Stadler |
40 |
[GO] |
2021―Jul―13 |
The impact of social distancing, contact tracing, and case isolation interventions to suppress the COVID-19 epidemic: A modeling study |
Yang Ge, Zhiping Chen, Andreas Handel, Leonardo Martinez, Qian Xiao, Changwei Li, et al. (+5) Enfu Chen, Jinren Pan, Yang Li, Feng Ling, Ye Shen |
41 |
[GO] |
2021―Jul―12 |
Modeling the population effects of escape mutations in SARS-CoV-2 to guide vaccination strategies |
James S. Koopman, Carl P. Simon, Wayne M. Getz, Richard Salter |
42 |
[GO] |
2021―Jun―29 |
Modelling SARS-CoV-2 transmission in a UK university setting |
Edward M. Hill, Benjamin D. Atkins, Matt J. Keeling, Michael J. Tildesley, Louise Dyson |
43 |
[GO] |
2021―Jun―24 |
Estimating the generation interval and inferring the latent period of COVID-19 from the contact tracing data |
Shi Zhao, Biao Tang, Salihu S Musa, Shujuan Ma, Jiayue Zhang, Minyan Zeng, et al. (+9) Qingping Yun, Wei Guo, Yixiang Zheng, Zuyao Yang, Zhihang Peng, Marc KC Chong, Mohammad Javanbakht, Daihai He, Maggie H. Wang |
44 |
[GO] |
2021―Jun―19 |
Development of an influenza pandemic decision support tool linking situational analytics to national response policy |
Freya M. Shearer, Robert Moss, David J. Price, Alexander E. Zarebski, Peter G. Ballard, Jodie McVernon, et al. (+2) Joshua V. Ross, James M. McCaw |
45 |
[GO] |
2021―Jun―17 |
Social contact patterns among employees in 3 U.S. companies during early phases of the COVID-19 pandemic, April to June 2020 |
Moses C. Kiti, Obianuju G. Aguolu, Carol Y. Liu, Ana R. Mesa, Rachel Regina, Meaghan Woody, et al. (+11) Kathryn Willebrand, Chandra Couzens, Tilman Bartelsmeyer, Kristin N. Nelson, Samuel Jenness, Steven Riley, Alessia Melegaro, Faruque Ahmed, Fauzia Malik, Ben A. Lopman, Saad B. Omer |
46 |
[GO] |
2021―Jun―17 |
Quantifying heterogeneity in SARS-CoV-2 transmission during the lockdown in India |
Nimalan Arinaminpathy, Jishnu Das, Tyler H. McCormick, Partha Mukhopadhyay, Neelanjan Sircar |
47 |
[GO] |
2021―May―29 |
Lessons for preparedness and reasons for concern from the early COVID-19 epidemic in Iran |
Mahan Ghafari, Bardia Hejazi, Arman Karshenas, Stefan Dascalu, Alireza Kadvidar, Mohammad A. Khosravi, et al. (+6) Maryam Abbasalipour, Majid Heydari, Sirous Zeinali, Luca Ferretti, Alice Ledda, Aris Katzourakis |
48 |
[GO] |
2021―May―09 |
Assessing the nationwide impact of COVID-19 mitigation policies on the transmission rate of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil |
Daniel C.P. Jorge, Moreno S. Rodrigues, Mateus S. Silva, Luciana L. Cardim, Nívea B. da Silva, Ismael H. Silveira, et al. (+8) Vivian A.F. Silva, Felipe A.C. Pereira, Arthur R. de Azevedo, Alan A.S. Amad, Suani T.R. Pinho, Roberto F.S. Andrade, Pablo I.P. Ramos, Juliane F. Oliveira |
49 |
[GO] |
2021―May―08 |
Network models and the interpretation of prolonged infection plateaus in the COVID19 pandemic |
Natalia L. Komarova, Asma Azizi, Dominik Wodarz |
50 |
[GO] |
2021―Apr―27 |
Memory is key in capturing COVID-19 epidemiological dynamics |
Mircea T. Sofonea, Bastien Reyné, Baptiste Elie, Ramsès Djidjou-Demasse, Christian Selinger, Yannis Michalakis, Samuel Alizon |
51 |
[GO] |
2021―Apr―20 |
Participatory syndromic surveillance as a tool for tracking COVID-19 in Bangladesh |
Ayesha S. Mahmud, Shayan Chowdhury, Kawsar Hossain Sojib, Anir Chowdhury, Md. Tanvir Quader, Sangita Paul, et al. (+4) Md. Sheikh Saidy, Ramiz Uddin, Kenth Engø-Monsen, Caroline O. Buckee |
52 |
[GO] |
2021―Mar―23 |
Modeling the early phase of the Belgian COVID-19 epidemic using a stochastic compartmental model and studying its implied future trajectories |
Steven Abrams, James Wambua, Eva Santermans, Lander Willem, Elise Kuylen, Pietro Coletti, et al. (+6) Pieter Libin, Christel Faes, Oana Petrof, Sereina A. Herzog, Philippe Beutels, Niel Hens |
53 |
[GO] |
2021―Mar―20 |
The performance of phenomenological models in providing near-term Canadian case projections in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic: March - April, 2020 |
Ben A. Smith, Christina Bancej, Aamir Fazil, Muhammad Mullah, Ping Yan, Shenghai Zhang |
54 |
[GO] |
2021―Mar―19 |
How much leeway is there to relax COVID-19 control measures? |
Sean C. Anderson, Nicola Mulberry, Andrew M. Edwards, Jessica E. Stockdale, Sarafa A. Iyaniwura, Rebeca C. Falcao, et al. (+4) Michael C. Otterstatter, Naveed Z. Janjua, Daniel Coombs, Caroline Colijn |
55 |
[GO] |
2021―Mar―18 |
Estimation of the incubation period of COVID-19 using viral load data |
Keisuke Ejima, Kwang Su Kim, Christina Ludema, Ana I. Bento, Shoya Iwanami, Yasuhisa Fujita, et al. (+6) Hirofumi Ohashi, Yoshiki Koizumi, Koichi Watashi, Kazuyuki Aihara, Hiroshi Nishiura, Shingo Iwami |
56 |
[GO] |
2021―Mar―01 |
Modelling suggests ABO histo-incompatibility may substantially reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission |
Peter J.I. Ellis |
57 |
[GO] |
2021―Feb―21 |
Estimating the global reduction in transmission and rise in detection capacity of the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 in early 2020 |
Antoine Belloir, François Blanquart |
58 |
[GO] |
2021―Jan―29 |
COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan demonstrates the limitations of publicly available case numbers for epidemiological modelling |
Elba Raimúndez, Erika Dudkin, Jakob Vanhoefer, Emad Alamoudi, Simon Merkt, Lara Fuhrmann, et al. (+2) Fan Bai, Jan Hasenauer |
59 |
[GO] |
2021―Jan―21 |
A model for COVID-19 with isolation, quarantine and testing as control measures |
M.S. Aronna, R. Guglielmi, L.M. Moschen |
60 |
[GO] |
2020―Dec―21 |
Chopping the tail: How preventing superspreading can help to maintain COVID-19 control |
Morgan P. Kain, Marissa L. Childs, Alexander D. Becker, Erin A. Mordecai |
61 |
[GO] |
2020―Nov―24 |
The impact of lockdown strategies targeting age groups on the burden of COVID-19 in France |
Benjamin Roche, Andres Garchitorena, David Roiz |
62 |
[GO] |
2020―Nov―09 |
Pseudo-likelihood based logistic regression for estimating COVID-19 infection and case fatality rates by gender, race, and age in California |
Di Xiong, Lu Zhang, Gregory L. Watson, Phillip Sundin, Teresa Bufford, Joseph A. Zoller, et al. (+3) John Shamshoian, Marc A. Suchard, Christina M. Ramirez |
63 |
[GO] |
2020―Oct―21 |
Emergence of zoonoses such as COVID-19 reveals the need for health sciences to embrace an explicit eco-social conceptual framework of health and disease |
Chris Kenyon |
64 |
[GO] |
2020―Jun―06 |
The effects of border control and quarantine measures on the spread of COVID-19 |
M. Pear Hossain, Alvin Junus, Xiaolin Zhu, Pengfei Jia, Tzai-Hung Wen, Dirk Pfeiffer, Hsiang-Yu Yuan |
65 |
[GO] |
2020―May―11 |
The time scale of asymptomatic transmission affects estimates of epidemic potential in the COVID-19 outbreak |
Sang Woo Park, Daniel M. Cornforth, Jonathan Dushoff, Joshua S. Weitz |