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Interaction between type 2 diabetes and past COVID-19 on active tuberculosis
BMC Infectious Diseases volume 24, Article number: 1383 (2024)
Abstract
Background
The global setback in tuberculosis (TB) prevalence and mortality in the post-COVID-19 era has been partially attributed to pandemic-related disruptions in healthcare systems. The additional biological contribution of COVID-19 to TB is less clear. The goal of this study was to determine if there is an association between COVID-19 in the past 18 months and a new TB episode, and the role played by type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) comorbidity in this relationship.
Methods
A cross-sectional study was conducted among 112 new active TB patients and 373 non-TB controls, identified between June 2020 and November 2021 in communities along the Mexican border with Texas. Past COVID-19 was based on self-report or positive serology. Bivariable/multivariable analysis were used to evaluate the odds of new TB in hosts with past COVID-19 and/or DM status.
Results
The odds of new TB were higher among past COVID-19 cases vs. controls, but only significant among DM patients (aOR 2.3). The odds of TB in people with DM was 2.7-fold higher among participants without past COVID-19 and increased to 7.9-fold among those with past COVID-19.
Conclusion
DM interacts with past COVID-19 synergistically to magnify the risk of TB. Latent TB screening and prophylactic treatment, if positive, is recommended in past COVID-19 persons with DM. Future studies are warranted with a longitudinal design and larger sample size to confirm our findings.
Introduction
Tuberculosis (TB), a lung infection caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis, is a healthcare challenge in low- and middle-income countries. The World Health Organization (WHO) has reported a global setback in efforts to control TB following the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic [1]. This includes a fall in the number of reported TB cases during 2020, followed by rebounds in 2021 by 28%, and in 2022 by 16%, when it reached levels higher than any year prior to 2019 [1]. During this 2020 to 2022 period, COVID-19 related disruptions caused an excess of half a million deaths due to TB [1]. These excess TB cases and deaths have been attributed in part to disruptions to TB diagnosis and treatment by national healthcare systems [2].
At the biological level there are also potential interactions between having had COVID-19 and TB risk. A weakened immune system may occur after a COVID-19 episode due to persistent inflammation, cytokine dysregulation, and lymphopenia that can make the host permissive to secondary infections [3,4,5]. Individuals with underlying medical conditions such as diabetes mellitus (DM) have an increased risk of COVID-19 development, severity, and mortality [6,7,8,9,10]. The higher vulnerability of DM patients to COVID-19 may be explained by alterations in innate functions (e.g. chemotaxis, phagocytosis, cytotoxicity) and T lymphocytes (e.g. Th17, CD8, Treg) [11, 12]. Given alterations in immune function due to COVID-19 or DM, individuals with poor glucose control and a recent or current COVID-19 episode may provide a ‘perfect storm’ for magnifying TB risk. However, the actual impact of a COVID-19 episode on an individual’s TB risk is not fully understood at the biological level. While some studies have reported cases of TB shortly after or concurrent to a COVID-19 episode [6, 13,14,15], to our knowledge it is still unclear whether there is a statistical association between both pulmonary infections.
The population along the United States (US)-Mexico border counties has more TB when compared to the 2019 national incidences per 100,000 in the US (8.4 vs 2.7) and Mexico (35.0 vs 17.7) [16,17,18,19]. Factors driving vulnerability to develop TB in these border regions include migration, poverty, limited access to healthcare and weakened immune system due to DM [20,21,22].
Given the high vulnerability of the US-Mexico border population for TB [21], this setting is uniquely posited to test the hypothesis that individuals with a recent COVID-19 episode would have a higher risk of developing TB. We conducted a cross-sectional study among newly diagnosed TB patients and non-TB controls to determine whether having had a recent COVID-19 episode would be more likely to result in developing TB. Our findings showed that the odds of TB were higher in participants with past COVID-19, but results were only significant in individuals with DM. We discuss the clinical implications of these findings for mitigating the odds of TB in new COVID-19 patients.
Methods
Study design and participant characterization
A cross-sectional study was conducted during the first 18 months of the COVID-19 pandemic (June 2020 to November 2021) in the Mexican cities of Reynosa and Matamoros, on the border with Texas, United States (US). Participants included identified adults (age ≥ 18 years) who were diagnosed with pulmonary TB at the reference TB clinics from the Secretaría de Salud de Tamaulipas. Patients were excluded if testing positive for HIV or receiving TB treatment for more than 2 weeks. Participants also included close contacts of new TB patients and non-TB exposed community controls.
Newly diagnosed pulmonary TB disease was based on a positive sputum smear for acid-fast bacilli, culture for M. tuberculosis, or clinical diagnosis (abnormal chest x-rays and symptoms). Close contacts were defined as persons who had shared at least 5 h of airspace with a new TB patient but had no evidence of TB. Community controls did not have a history of TB nor known exposure to a TB case in the past 2 years. Evidence of latent TB infection in non-TB controls was defined as having a positive Interferon Gamma Release Assays [IGRA; QuantiFERON-Gold in-Tube (Qiagen) or T.Spot-TB (Oxford Immunotec)]. BCG vaccination was based on scarring.
A past history of COVID-19 was based on self-report of symptoms suggestive of COVID-19 during the past 18 months and/or a positive serology for anti-SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid IgG index (hereafter ‘COVID-IgG’; Alinity c test platform, Abbott Laboratories). COVID-19 vaccination became available during the study period and participants were considered vaccinated if they had received at least one dose.
Participant sociodemographics, physical measures, self-reported medical history and laboratory testing were documented as described [23]. DM was based on hyperglycemia (fasting glucose ≥ 126 mg/dL or random ≥ 200 mg/dL) or chronic hyperglycemia (HbA1c ≥ 6.5%) [24]. Macrovascular (heart disease or high blood pressure) and microvascular diseases (neuropathy, kidney disease) were self-reported. Body mass index (BMI) was stratified into underweight or normal (≤ 24.9 kg/m2) and overweight or obese (≥ 25 kg/m2).
Statistical analysis
Data was entered into Microsoft Access and exported to Statistical Analysis System (SAS) version 9.4 for statistical analysis. Pearson’s chi-square was used to determine associations between categorical variables and Fisher’s Exact test was used when any cell sample size was ≤ 5. The t-test was used to analyze differences in means for continuous variables. For multivariable models, variables with p ≤ 0.2 by univariable analysis or of biological interest (e.g. sex, age, BMI) were entered into backwards logistic regression models to identify the predictors of TB in addition to past COVID-19. DM was evaluated as a confounder or through a multiplicative effect modifier assessment. Variables with p ≤ 0.05 were kept in the final reduced model. P values ≤ 0.05 were considered significant and between 0.05 and 0.09 marginally significant.
Results
Definition of past COVID-19
We studied 485 participants (112 TB cases, 284 close contacts, 89 community controls). The defined past COVID-19 based on self-reported disease (n = 478, 98.6% interviewed) and COVID-IgG (n = 445, 91.8% tested; Table S1). When using the COVID-IgG cut-off of 1.4 IU/ml per manufacturer recommendations, self-reported COVID-19 was more prevalent among individuals with a positive vs. a negative serology (50.9% vs. 22.2%; p < 0.001; Fig. 1A). Positive COVID-IgG was more likely among those reporting a COVID-19 history vs. no history (OR 3.64, 95% CI: 2.31–5.75; Table 1). However, 53 individuals had positive serology but no reported COVID-19, suggesting some COVID-19 cases were asymptomatic.
Anti-SARS-CoV-2 serology (COVID-IgG index) in all participants with respect to COVID-19 report, vaccination and episode timing. A Prevalence of self-reported (SR) COVID-19 among individuals with a negative or positive COVID-IgG index cut-off of 1.4 IU/mL per manufacturer recommendations. Error bars, 95% CI. B COVID-IgG index among study participants by COVID-19 self-report (SR + or -) or vaccination status. Dotted horizontal lines show cut-offs of 1.4 IU/mL (manufacturer recommendation) and 2.5 IU/mL (this study). C COVID-IgG index stratified by the time elapsed between enrollment and months elapsed since the reported COVID-19 episode. *, p ≤ 0.05. SR: self-reported COVID-19; COVID-Ig index: anti-SARS-CoV-2-IgG index; Neg: Negative; Pos: Positive
During this study period, COVID-19 vaccines became available and were received by some of the participants (n = 370, 76.3%; Table S1), so vaccination history was taken into consideration for defining COVID-19 given its possible effect on serology or mitigation of COVID-19 symptoms. We evaluated this possibility and found that COVID-19 vaccinees had higher COVID-IgG (Fig. 1B), and particularly among those who did not report COVID-19 (positive COVID-IgG using the clinical cut-off of ≥ 1.4 IU/mL: 24.2% in vaccinees vs. 16.1% in non-vaccinees; Table 1). These associations were not statistically significant but suggested a partial influence of the COVID-19 vaccine on positive serology. To increase the specificity of the serology, we evaluated a higher IgG index cut-off. We selected 2.5 IU/mL based on visual inspection of the titers in individuals with self-reported COVID-19 and vaccination history (Fig. 1B). This higher IgG index cut-off provided a more specific estimate of infection: a shift from 24.2% to only 9.8% of vaccinees having a positive serology among those with no self-reported COVID-19 (OR 0.64; 95% CI: 0.25–1.66; Table 1).
IgG titers were highest in individuals with recent COVID-19 episodes and waned over time [IgG index median, IQR at 0–6 months = 2.64 (4.40); 6–12 months = 0.75 (1.72), and 12 or more months = 0.60 (1.01); Fig. 1C)]. The proportion of individuals with a positive serology also decreased over time among individuals with reported COVID-19 (0–6 months: 55.6%; 6–12 months: 35.2%; ≥ 12 months: 9.26%; p = 0.004). These findings suggested that as longer times elapsed since a COVID-19 episode, false-negative serology was more likely.
Together, our observations suggested a partial overlap between a positive COVID-19 history and serology, and an influence of vaccination history and timing since COVID-19 on serology titers. Hence, our final classification of subjects with past COVID-19 was based on reported history of disease in the last 18 months or a COVID-IgG cut-off ≥ 2.5 IU/mL. Hereafter, we refer to this new variable of symptomatic and asymptomatic cases as “past COVID-19”.
Characteristics of participants by TB status
For analysis by TB status, we combined the 284 close contacts and 89 community controls into one non-TB control group. Compared to non-TB controls, TB cases had a higher proportion of males (TB 72.3% vs no TB 35.7%; p < 0.001), less education (TB 25.9% vs. non-TB 39.0% with high school degree; p < 0.011) and fewer smokers (TB 6.3% vs. non-TB 17.4%; p < 0.004). TB cases had more DM (TB 56.3% vs. non-TB 23.9%; p < 0.001), and microvascular disease (TB 34.5% vs. non-TB 19.3%; p < 0.001) and lower BMI (TB 75.9% vs. non-TB 22.3%; p < 0.001). TB patients vs non-TB controls had lower lipids, hemoglobin, hematocrit, and lymphocyte counts, but higher monocytes, platelets, and neutrophils (p < 0.001; Table S2).
Association between past COVID-19 and pulmonary TB
We found no significant differences between TB case patients and controls on any COVID-19 related variable, i.e. reported COVID-19, COVID-IgG, vaccination, or the composite past COVID-19 variable (Table S2). However, upon further stratification of participants by past COVID-19 and TB, the features that distinguished past COVID-19 patients were higher odds of ever being married among non-TB, and higher DM or high HbA1c levels among TB patients (Table S3). White blood cell counts did not differ by past COVID-19 and TB status (Table S4), but among non-vaccinated TB contacts, lymphocyte counts were lower in those with past COVID-19 vs a negative COVID-19 history although this difference was not statistically significant (Fig S1).
Role of DM on the association between past COVID-19 and TB
Bivariable analysis suggested that past COVID-19 was an effect modifier of the association between TB and DM (Table 2). Namely, the odds of TB was 4.10 among persons with DM compared to no DM in all participants, 2.71 among those negative for past COVID-19 episode, and 7.85 among those with a past COVID-19 episode. Table 3 shows the independent contribution of past COVID-19 to TB in multivariable models. Model A included all the variables (DM, sex, age distribution, BMI, marital status, COVID-19 vaccine, smoking, microvascular disease, triglyceride levels) and model B was the reduced version. Both models indicated that past COVID-19 was not significantly associated with TB in the overall sample. However, Model C showed a marginally significant interaction between past COVID-19 and DM (past COVID-19 * DM, i.e. in people who have past COVID-19 and DM; p 0.057). Similar models among participants with DM (Model D) or poor glucose control (HbA1c ≥ 7.0% in model E and ≥ 7.5% in model F) showed that the strength of the association between past COVID-19 and TB increased among participants with poor glucose control (DM adjusted OR, aOR 2.33; HbA1c ≥ 7.0 aOR 2.99; HbA1c ≥ 7.5 aOR 3.31). Together, these findings suggest that past COVID-19 alone is not independently associated with TB, but this association is significant among DM patients, and particularly in those with poor glucose control.
Discussion
Our cross-sectional study examined the relationship between a past symptomatic or asymptomatic COVID-19 episode on the odds of active TB. The prevalence of past COVID-19 was higher among newly diagnosed TB patients vs. non-TB controls, but only significant in hosts with DM, and strongest among those with poor glucose control. Likewise, we found that past COVID-19 magnified the strength of the known association between DM and TB. DM increased the odds of TB by threefold among non-COVID-19 participants, which is consistent with pre-COVID-19 pandemic findings in our Mexico border community [22], and elsewhere [25]. However, among persons with DM, the odds of TB increased to nearly eightfold among those with past-COVID-19. Together, these findings indicate an interaction between past COVID-19 and DM, magnifying the odds of TB when compared to COVID-19 or DM alone (Fig. 2).
Summary of findings on the interaction between COVID-19 and DM on the odds of TB. Among all participants the odds of TB were not significantly higher in individuals with past COVID-19, but increased among those with DM (aOR 2.3; 95% 0.97, 5.6), and become significant in those with poor glucose control (aOR 3.3; 95% CI 1.2, 9.2). Additionally, the odds of TB was nearly threefold in DM vs. non-DM patients without past COVID-19 and increased to nearly eightfold among those with past COVID-19. We recommend that individuals with a poorly controlled DM and a recent episode of COVID-19 be screened for latent TB infection, and if positive, to consider LTBI treatment (italic font). Bold numbers, significant or marginally significant associations. Blue text in italics, clinical recommendations. Partially created with Biorender
The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on higher TB incidence and mortality was predicted in the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic, and partially attributed to programmatic shifts in resources from TB to COVID-19 [2, 26], but its biological impact is less clear [13]. In theory, past COVID-19 patients should be more vulnerable to TB due to reported viral induction of lymphopenia, functional T cell exhaustion, dysregulated innate and adaptive immune responses, and reduced secretion of IFN-γ in response to M. tuberculosis antigens [4, 5, 27]. Accordingly, some studies report cases of TB reactivation or primary TB attributed to a recent or concurrent COVID-19 episode [14, 15]. However, our findings revealed a non-significant increase in the odds of TB in participants with past COVID-19 alone. There are several possible explanations for this low impact of COVID-19 on TB in our study: i) we only included past COVID-19 cases, and missed those with concurrent TB disease which is when highest immune compromise is most likely, and ii) we did not have information to stratify participants by COVID-19 disease severity, which seems critical for conferring TB risk [14].
DM has a known deleterious relationship with the risk and prognosis of COVID-19 or TB [9, 25]. The interaction between DM and COVID-19 on TB had been anticipated [6, 8, 28], and our observational study supports these predictions. The mechanism by which DM and COVID-19 synergize to magnify the risk of TB remains to be elucidated. It is possible that lymphopenia due to COVID-19 synergized with defective monocyte/macrophage effector functions in DM [12, 29] to compromise the cell-mediated immunity that is critical for M. tuberculosis containment [30].
Our findings have clinical implications. In primary care clinics, individuals with a recent COVID-19 episode and poor glucose control should be prioritized for evaluation of a latent TB infection in TB endemic regions, and if positive, offered latent TB infection treatment. During the contact investigations at TB clinics, this recommendation would be important in recent contacts of a new TB cases [31]. Our TB clinics focus current efforts for latent TB infection testing in close contacts who are children under 5 years or people living with HIV. Close contacts with COVID-19 are not evaluated at TB clinics. The independent management of COVID-19 from TB patient cases seems practical to avoid cross-infections, but the relationship between suggests a benefit for improved communication between TB clinics and primary care physicians.
We recognize study limitations. Our sample size is relatively small when considering the changing features of past COVID-19 individuals during the 18-month study period. These included the dwindling of the COVID-IgG titers as time elapsed between the COVID-19 and TB episodes, and the introduction of COVID-19 vaccines. It would have been ideal to stratify participants by these features, but our statistical power was insufficient. Our study design was cross-sectional with participants enrolled at the time of TB diagnosis, so past COVID-19 was based on indirect methods (self-report and serology) with possibilities for non-differential misclassifications. It would have been ideal to have clinical data to stratify COVID-19 severity or details on the vaccine manufacturer, doses, or timing. Our study may be prone to survival bias because we did not include those who succumbed to COVID-19 and/or TB. Overcoming these limitations would be possible in settings where all the medical data is entered electronically in real time, i.e. primary care physicians treating COVID-19 and pulmonary clinics managing the same person for a later episode of TB. This type of documentation would make it possible for a retrospective analysis with longitudinal data on thousands of individuals. Finally, we cannot rule out selection bias since in non-TB controls usually have higher female participation (this is controlled for in our multivariable models), and TB-naive controls were a convenience sample from the community. Despite the limitations of our study, we were able to detect an anticipated interaction between DM and COVID-19 on the odds of TB.
Conclusion
Future studies are warranted to determine whether having COVID-19 in addition to diabetes mellitus is a risk factor for TB, given: i) the interaction of COVID-19 with the immune system or ii) because having COVID-19 may reflect the degree to which DM has already compromised the immune system. Looking forward, it may be uncertain how the COVID-19 pandemic will continue to impact the risk of TB given the acquisition of immunity to the virus through repeated infections in humans, plus the availability of second generation COVID-19 vaccines [32]. However, the emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants and low access to annual COVID-19 vaccines in TB endemic areas may retain the threat of higher TB risk, particularly among poorly controlled DM patients. Studies are warranted to confirm our findings with a larger sample size, in different study populations, at different times after a COVID-19 episode, and years after the emergence of the initial COVID-19 pandemic, to identify the actual impact of this viral infection on the risk of TB.
Data availability
The datasets used and/or analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
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Acknowledgements
We thank the health professionals at the TB clinics from the Secretaría de Salud (SSA) de Tamaulipas in Reynosa and Matamoros, including Mr. Jorge Perez-Navarro for logistics support. We dedicate this study to the memory of team members we lost to COVID-19, Dr. Francisco Mora-Guzmán and R. Eminé Rodriguez-Reyna. We thank the US Customs and Border Protection, Agriculture Specialists at the Hidalgo and Cameron international bridges for coordination of study logistics.
Funding
This research was funded by the National Institute On Aging of the National Institutes of Health [P01-AG051428 to BIR], National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases [NIAID IN-TRAC P30AI168439 to BIR; R21AI144541 to BIR] and National Institute Of General Medical Sciences of the National Institutes of Health under Award Number T34GM137854 To Mateo Joya-Ayala. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health.
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Conceptualization, B.I.R., J.B.T., J.T.; Formal analysis, B.I.R., L.E.C.C., M.L. Investigation, L.E.C.C., G.P.A.D., D.A., J.A.C., M.J.A., M.G.; Writing—original draft preparation, B.I.R., L.E.C.C.; Writing—review and editing, all authors; Project Administration, B.I.R., J.E.R.H., R.L.S., A.C.G., E.P.M., E.M.G.O., J.B.T., J.T.; Funding acquisition, B.I.R., L.S.S., J.B.T. and J.T. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
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This study was approved by institutional review boards in Mexico (110/2018/CEI) and the US (HSC-SPH-19–0308; HSC-SPH-14–1007) and written informed consent was obtained from participants.
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The authors declare no competing interests.
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Calles-Cabanillas, L.E., Aguillón-Durán, G.P., Ayala, D. et al. Interaction between type 2 diabetes and past COVID-19 on active tuberculosis. BMC Infect Dis 24, 1383 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-024-10244-z
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-024-10244-z