| |
original article |
Date |
Title |
Authors Max. 6 Authors |
| 1 |
[GO] |
2024―Apr―15 |
Estimating vaccine efficacy during open-label follow-up of COVID-19 vaccine trials based on population-level surveillance data |
Mia Moore, Yifan Zhu, Ian Hirsch, Tom White, Robert C. Reiner, Ryan M. Barber, David Pigott, James K. Collins, Serena Santoni, Magdalena E. Sobieszczyk, Holly Janes |
| 2 |
[GO] |
2024―Mar―21 |
Data-driven mechanistic framework with stratified immunity and effective transmissibility for COVID-19 scenario projections |
Przemyslaw Porebski, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Aniruddha Adiga, Brian Klahn, Benjamin Hurt, Mandy L. Wilson, Jiangzhuo Chen, Anil Vullikanti, Madhav Marathe, Bryan Lewis |
| 3 |
[GO] |
2024―Mar―19 |
Estimating measures to reduce the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia to guide a ‘National Plan’ to reopening |
Gerard E. Ryan, Freya M. Shearer, James M. McCaw, Jodie McVernon, Nick Golding |
| 4 |
[GO] |
2024―Mar―12 |
Effectiveness of interventions to reduce COVID-19 transmission in schools |
Remy Pasco, Spencer J. Fox, Michael Lachmann, Lauren Ancel Meyers |
| 5 |
[GO] |
2024―Mar―05 |
A multiscale modeling framework for Scenario Modeling: Characterizing the heterogeneity of the COVID-19 epidemic in the US |
Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Kunpeng Mu, Nicolò Gozzi, Marco Ajelli, Nicola Perra, Alessandro Vespignani |
| 6 |
[GO] |
2024―Mar―02 |
flepiMoP: the evolution of a flexible infectious disease modeling pipeline during the COVID-19 pandemic |
Joseph C Lemaitre, Sara L Loo, Joshua Kaminsky, Elizabeth C Lee, Clifton McKee, Claire Smith, Sung-mok Jung, Koji Sato, Erica Carcelen, Alison Hill, Justin Lessler, Shaun Truelove |
| 7 |
[GO] |
2024―Mar―02 |
Projecting the future impact of emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants under uncertainty: modeling the initial Omicron outbreak |
Sean Moore, Sean Cavany, T. Alex Perkins, Guido Felipe Camargo Espana |
| 8 |
[GO] |
2024―Feb―23 |
COVSIM: A stochastic agent-based COVID-19 SIMulation model for North Carolina |
Erik T. Rosenstrom, Julie S. Ivy, Maria E. Mayorga, Julie L. Swann |
| 9 |
[GO] |
2024―Feb―20 |
The COVID-19 vaccination campaign in Switzerland and its impact on disease spread |
M. Bekker-Nielsen Dunbar, L. Held |
| 10 |
[GO] |
2024―Feb―02 |
Estimating the population effectiveness of interventions against COVID-19 in France: a modelling study |
Iris Ganser, David L Buckeridge, Jane Heffernan, Mélanie Prague, Rodolphe Thiébaut |
| 11 |
[GO] |
2024―Jan―06 |
Epidemiological impact of a large number of false negative SARS-CoV-2 test results in South West England during September and October 2021 |
L. Hounsome, D. Herr, R. Bryant, R. Smith, L. Loman, J. Harris, U. Youhan, E. Dzene, P. Hadjipantelis, H. Long, T. Laurence, S. Riley, F. Cumming |
| 12 |
[GO] |
2023―Dec―29 |
The US COVID-19 and Influenza Scenario Modeling Hubs: delivering long-term projections to guide policy |
Sara L Loo, Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, Claire P Smith, Rebecca K Borchering, Luke C Mullany, Samantha Bents, Erica Carcelen, Sung-mok Jung, Tiffany Bogich, Willem G. van Panhuis, Jessica Kerr, Jessi Espino, Katie Yan, Harry Hochheiser, Michael C. Runge, Katriona Shea, Justin Lessler, Cécile Viboud, Shaun Truelove |
| 13 |
[GO] |
2023―Dec―19 |
Predicting the impact of COVID-19 non-pharmaceutical intervention on short- and medium-term dynamics of enterovirus D68 in the US |
Sang Woo Park, Kevin Messacar, Daniel C. Douek, Alicen B. Spaulding, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Bryan T. Grenfell |
| 14 |
[GO] |
2023―Dec―12 |
Effectiveness of a COVID-19 contact tracing app in a simulation model with indirect and informal contact tracing |
Ka Yin Leung, Esther Metting, Wolfgang Ebbers, Irene Veldhuijzen, Stijn P. Andeweg, Guus Luijben, Marijn de Bruin, Jacco Wallinga, Don Klinkenberg |
| 15 |
[GO] |
2023―Nov―16 |
The variations of SIkJalpha model for COVID-19 forecasting and scenario projections |
Ajitesh Srivastava |
| 16 |
[GO] |
2023―Nov―07 |
Assessing the utility of COVID-19 case reports as a leading indicator for hospitalization forecasting in the United States |
Nicholas G. Reich, Yijin Wang, Meagan Burns, Rosa Ergas, Estee Y. Cramer, Evan L. Ray |
| 17 |
[GO] |
2023―Nov―07 |
Changing social contact patterns among US workers during the COVID-19 pandemic: April 2020 to December 2021 |
Moses C. Kiti, Obianuju G. Aguolu, Alana Zelaya, Holin Y. Chen, Noureen Ahmed, Jonathan Batross, Carol Y. Liu, Kristin N. Nelson, Samuel M. Jenness, Alessia Melegaro, Faruque Ahmed, Fauzia Malik, Saad B. Omer, Ben A. Lopman |
| 18 |
[GO] |
2023―Oct―20 |
A nationwide lockdown and deaths due to COVID-19 in the Indian subcontinent |
Amit N. Sawant, Mats J. Stensrud |
| 19 |
[GO] |
2023―Sep―26 |
Epidemiological characteristics and dynamic transmissions of COVID-19 pandemics in Chinese mainland: a trajectory clustering perspective analysis |
Jingfeng Chen, Shuaiyin Chen, Guangcai Duan, Teng Zhang, Haitao Zhao, Zhuoqing Wu, Haiyan Yang, Suying Ding |
| 20 |
[GO] |
2023―Sep―08 |
Limited impact of contact tracing in a University setting for COVID-19 due to asymptomatic transmission and social distancing |
Daniel Stocks, Emily Nixon, Adam Trickey, Martin Homer, Ellen Brooks-Pollock |
| 21 |
[GO] |
2023―Aug―24 |
Bayesian monitoring of COVID-19 in Sweden |
Robin Marin, Håkan Runvik, Alexander Medvedev, Stefan Engblom |
| 22 |
[GO] |
2023―Aug―15 |
Estimating age-stratified transmission and reproduction numbers during the early exponential phase of an epidemic: A case study with COVID-19 data |
Zachary Stanke, John L. Spouge |
| 23 |
[GO] |
2023―Aug―08 |
Bayesian reconstruction of SARS-CoV-2 transmissions highlights substantial proportion of negative serial intervals |
Cyril Geismar, Vincent Nguyen, Ellen Fragaszy, Madhumita Shrotri, Annalan M D Navaratnam, Sarah Beale, Thomas E Byrne, Wing Lam Erica Fong, Alexei Yavlinsky, Jana Kovar, Susan Hoskins, Isobel Braithwaite, Robert W Aldridge, Andrew C Hayward, Peter J White, Thibaut Jombart, Anne Cori |
| 24 |
[GO] |
2023―Aug―03 |
SARS-CoV-2 transmission patterns in educational settings during the Alpha wave in Reggio-Emilia, Italy |
Carla Molina Grané, Pamela Mancuso, Massimo Vicentini, Francesco Venturelli, Djuric Olivera, Mattia Manica, Giorgio Guzzetta, Valentina Marziano, Agnese Zardini, Valeria d’Andrea, Filippo Trentini, Eufemia Bisaccia, Elisabetta Larosa, Silvia Cilloni, Maria Teresa Cassinadri, Patrizio Pezzotti, Marco Ajelli, Paolo Giorgi Rossi, Stefano Merler, Piero Poletti |
| 25 |
[GO] |
2023―Jul―20 |
The effective reproductive number: modeling and prediction with application to the multi-wave Covid-19 pandemic |
Razvan Romanescu, Songdi Hu, Douglas Nanton, Mahmoud Torabi, Olivier Tremblay-Savard, Md Ashiqul Haque |
| 26 |
[GO] |
2023―Jul―18 |
The role of regular asymptomatic testing in reducing the impact of a COVID-19 wave |
Miguel E.P. Silva, Martyn Fyles, Li Pi, Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths, Thomas House, Caroline Jay, Elizabeth Fearon |
| 27 |
[GO] |
2023―Jul―05 |
Modelling the COVID-19 pandemic: focusing on the case of Greece |
Ioannis G. Violaris, Theodoros Lampros, Konstantinos Kalafatakis, Georgios Ntritsos, Konstantinos Kostikas, Nikolaos Giannakeas, Markos Tsipouras, Evripidis Glavas, Dimitrios Tsalikakis, Alexandros Tzallas |
| 28 |
[GO] |
2023―Jun―21 |
Extending EpiEstim to estimate the transmission advantage of pathogen variants in real-time: SARS-CoV-2 as a case-study |
Sangeeta Bhatia, Jack Wardle, Rebecca K. Nash, Pierre Nouvellet, Anne Cori |
| 29 |
[GO] |
2023―Jun―16 |
Lives saved by public health restrictions over the Victorian COVID-19 Delta variant epidemic wave, Aug-Nov 2021 |
D. Delport, R. Sacks-Davis, R.G. Abeysuriya, M. Hellard, N. Scott |
| 30 |
[GO] |
2023―Jun―16 |
Reconstruction of SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks in a primary school using epidemiological and genomic data |
Cécile Kremer, Andrea Torneri, Pieter J.K. Libin, Cécile Meex, Marie-Pierre Hayette, Sébastien Bontems, Keith Durkin, Maria Artesi, Vincent Bours, Philippe Lemey, Gilles Darcis, Niel Hens, Christelle Meuris |
| 31 |
[GO] |
2023―May―27 |
Community incidence patterns drive the risk of SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks and alter intervention impacts in a high-risk institutional setting |
Sean M. Moore, Guido España, T. Alex Perkins, Robert M. Guido, Joaquin B. J쪺n, Tara L. Hall, Mark E. Huhtanen, Sheila A. Peel, Kayvon Modjarrad, Shilpa Hakre, Paul T. Scott |
| 32 |
[GO] |
2023―May―20 |
Influence of setting-dependent contacts and protective behaviours on asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection amongst members of a UK university |
Emma L. Fairbanks, Kirsty J. Bolton, Ru Jia, Grazziela P. Figueredo, Holly Knight, Kavita Vedhara |
| 33 |
[GO] |
2023―May―03 |
Evaluating primary and booster vaccination prioritization strategies for COVID-19 by age and high-contact employment status using data from contact surveys |
Ethan Roubenoff, Dennis Feehan, Ayesha S. Mahmud |
| 34 |
[GO] |
2023―Mar―16 |
On the contact tracing for COVID-19: A simulation study |
Luděk Berec, Tomáš Diviák, Aleš Kuběna, René Levínský, Roman Neruda, Gabriela Suchopárová, Josef Šlerka, Martin Šmíd, Jan Trnka, Vít Tuček, Petra Vidnerová, Milan Zajíček |
| 35 |
[GO] |
2023―Feb―26 |
Empirical evidence of transmission over a school-household network for SARS-CoV-2; exploration of transmission pairs stratified by primary and secondary school. |
Senna C.J.L. van Iersel, Jantien A. Backer, Rolina D. van Gaalen, Stijn P. Andeweg, James D. Munday, Jacco Wallinga, Albert Jan van Hoek, Agnetha Hofhuis, Amber Maxwell, Annabel Niessen, Anne Teirlinck, Anne-Wil Valk, Birgit van Benthem, Brechje de Gier, Bronke Boudewijns, Carolien Verstraten, Claudia Laarman, Danytza Berry, Daphne van Wees, Dimphey van Meijeren, Don Klinkenberg, Eric Vos, Eveline Geubbels, Femke Jongenotter, Fleur Petit, Frederika Dijkstra, Gert Broekhaar, Guido Willekens, Hester de Melker, Irene Veldhuijzen, Jan Polman, Jan van de Kassteele, Janneke Heijne, Janneke van Heereveld, Jeanet Kemmeren, Kirsten Bulsink, Kylie Ainslie, Lieke Wielders, Liselotte van Asten, Liz Jenniskens, Loes Soetens, Maarten Mulder, Maarten Schipper, Marit de Lange, Marit Middeldorp, Marjolein Kooijman, Miek de Dreu, Mirjam Knol, Naomi Smorenburg, Nienke Neppelenbroek, Patrick van den Berg, Pieter de Boer, Priscila de Oliveira Bressane Lima, Rianne van Gageldonk-Lafeber, Sara Wijburg, Scott McDonald, Shahabeh Abbas Zadeh, Siméon de Bruijn, Sjoerd Wierenga, Susan Hahne, Susan Lanooij, Susan van den Hof, Sylvia Keijser, Tara Smit, Thomas Dalhuisen, Timor Faber, Tjarda Boere |
| 36 |
[GO] |
2023―Feb―23 |
Education data needs and challenges for building back from COVID-19 |
Filipe Recch, Anna Petherick, Rachel Hinton, Radhika Nagesh, Rodrigo Furst, Rafael Goldszmidt |
| 37 |
[GO] |
2023―Jan―25 |
A statistical framework for tracking the time-varying superspreading potential of COVID-19 epidemic |
Zihao Guo, Shi Zhao, Shui Shan Lee, Chi Tim Hung, Ngai Sze Wong, Tsz Yu Chow, Carrie Ho Kwan Yam, Maggie Haitian Wang, Jingxuan Wang, Ka Chun Chong, Eng Kiong Yeoh |
| 38 |
[GO] |
2023―Jan―10 |
How time-scale differences in asymptomatic and symptomatic transmission shape SARS-CoV-2 outbreak dynamics |
Jeremy D. Harris, Sang Woo Park, Jonathan Dushoff, Joshua S. Weitz |
| 39 |
[GO] |
2022―Dec―17 |
Large-scale calibration and simulation of COVID-19 epidemiologic scenarios to support healthcare planning |
Nick Groves-Kirkby, Ewan Wakeman, Seema Patel, Robert Hinch, Tineke Poot, Jonathan Pearson, Lily Tang, Edward Kendall, Ming Tang, Kim Moore, Scott Stevenson, Bryn Mathias, Ilya Feige, Simon Nakach, Laura Stevenson, Paul O'Dwyer, William Probert, Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths, Christophe Fraser |
| 40 |
[GO] |
2022―Dec―07 |
The risk of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant emergence in low and middle-income countries (LMICs) |
Kaiming Bi, Jose Luis Herrera-Diestra, Yuan Bai, Zhanwei Du, Lin Wang, Graham Gibson, Maureen Johnson-Leon, Spencer J. Fox, Lauren Ancel Meyers |
| 41 |
[GO] |
2022―Nov―21 |
Modelling the dynamics of infection, waning of immunity and re-infection with the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Aotearoa New Zealand |
Giorgia Vattiatio, Audrey Lustig, Oliver J. Maclaren, Michael J. Plank |
| 42 |
[GO] |
2022―Nov―17 |
Impact of cross-border-associated cases on the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Switzerland during summer 2020 and 2021 |
Martina L. Reichmuth, Emma B. Hodcroft, Julien Riou, Richard A. Neher, Niel Hens, Christian L. Althaus |
| 43 |
[GO] |
2022―Nov―14 |
Correlation between times to SARS-CoV-2 symptom onset and secondary transmission undermines epidemic control efforts |
Natalie M. Linton, Andrei R. Akhmetzhanov, Hiroshi Nishiura |
| 44 |
[GO] |
2022―Nov―04 |
In the Shadow of Privacy: Overlooked Ethical Concerns in COVID-19 Digital Epidemiology |
Agata Ferretti, Effy Vayena |
| 45 |
[GO] |
2022―Nov―01 |
Data needs for integrated economic-epidemiological models of pandemic mitigation policies |
David J. Haw, Christian Morgenstern, Giovanni Forchini, Rob Johnson, Patrick Doohan, Peter C. Smith, Katharina D. Hauck |
| 46 |
[GO] |
2022―Oct―22 |
Calibrating COVID-19 Community Transmission Risk Levels to Reflect Infection Prevalence |
Weihsueh A. Chiu, Martial L. Ndeffo-Mbah |
| 47 |
[GO] |
2022―Oct―20 |
Timeliness of reporting of SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence results and their utility for infectious disease surveillance |
Claire Donnici, Natasha Ilincic, Christian Cao, Caseng Zhang, Gabriel Deveaux, David Clifton, David Buckeridge, Niklas Bobrovitz, Rahul K. Arora |
| 48 |
[GO] |
2022―Oct―11 |
A comparison of COVID-19 outbreaks across US Combined Statistical Areas using new methods for estimating R0 and social distancing behaviour |
Ludovica Luisa Vissat, Nir Horvitz, Rachael V. Phillips, Zhongqi Miao, Whitney Mgbara, Yue You, Richard Salter, Alan E. Hubbard, Wayne M. Getz |
| 49 |
[GO] |
2022―Oct―06 |
Insight into Delta Variant Dominated Second Wave of COVID-19 in Nepal |
Khagendra Adhikari, Ramesh Gautam, Anjana Pokharel, Meghnath Dhimal, Kedar Nath Uprety, Naveen K. Vaidya |
| 50 |
[GO] |
2022―Sep―26 |
Symptom-based vs asymptomatic testing for controlling SARS-CoV-2 transmission in low- and middle-income countries: A modelling analysis |
Yeonsoo Baik, Lucia Cilloni, Emily Kendall, David Dowdy, Nimalan Arinaminpathy |
| 51 |
[GO] |
2022―Sep―21 |
Assessing K-12 School Reopenings Under Different COVID-19 Spread Scenarios - United States, School Year 2020/21: A Retrospective Modeling Study |
Timothy C Germann, Manhong Z Smith, Lori R Dauelsberg, Geoffrey Fairchild, Terece L Turton, Morgan E Gorris, Chrysm Watson Ross, James P Ahrens, Daniel D Hemphill, Carrie Manore, Sara Y Del Valle |
| 52 |
[GO] |
2022―Sep―05 |
Impact of spatiotemporal heterogeneity in COVID-19 disease surveillance on epidemiological parameters and case growth rates |
Rhys P.D. Inward, Felix Jackson, Abhishek Dasgupta, Graham Lee, Anya Lindström Battle, Kris V. Parag, Moritz U.G. Kraemer |
| 53 |
[GO] |
2022―Sep―01 |
The role of public involvement in the design of the first SARS-CoV-2 Human Challenge Study during an evolving pandemic |
Maria Piggin, Emma Smith, Peter Mankone, Leah Ndegwa, Diane Gbesemete, Philippa Pristerà, Michael Bahrami-Hessari, Halle Johnson, Andrew P Catchpole, Peter JM Openshaw, Christopher Chiu, Robert C Read, Helen Ward, Caroline Barker |
| 54 |
[GO] |
2022―Aug―12 |
Preface: Challenges for Future Pandemics |
Denis Mollison, Valerie Isham, Ciara Dangerfield, Deirdre Hollingsworth |
| 55 |
[GO] |
2022―Jul―30 |
Lockdowns exert selection pressure on overdispersion of SARS-CoV-2 variants |
Bjarke Frost Nielsen, Andreas Eilersen, Lone Simonsen, Kim Sneppen |
| 56 |
[GO] |
2022―Jul―27 |
Response to COVID-19 during the Tokyo Olympic Games: Did we properly assess the risk? |
Sung-mok Jung, Katsuma Hayashi, Taishi Kayano, Hiroshi Nishiura |
| 57 |
[GO] |
2022―Jul―22 |
Estimating transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 at different intraspatial levels in an institutional outbreak |
Shihui Jin, Borame Lee Dickens, Amy ML Quek, Mikael Hartman, Paul Anantharajah Tambyah, Raymond Chee Seong Seet, Alex R Cook |
| 58 |
[GO] |
2022―Jul―21 |
Determinants of RSV epidemiology following suppression through pandemic contact restrictions |
Mihaly Koltai, Fabienne Krauer, David Hodgson, Edwin van Leeuwen, Marina Treskova-Schwarzbach, Mark Jit, Stefan Flasche |
| 59 |
[GO] |
2022―Jul―20 |
The challenges of data in future pandemics |
Nigel Shadbolt, Alys Brett, Min Chen, Glenn Marion, Iain J. McKendrick, Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths, Lorenzo Pellis, Richard Reeve, Ben Swallow |
| 60 |
[GO] |
2022―Jul―14 |
Infectious disease modelling for SARS-CoV-2 in Africa to guide policy: a systematic review. |
Teresia Njoki Kimani, Mutono Nyamai, Lillian Owino, Anita Makori, Loice Achieng Ombajo, MaryBeth Maritim, Omu Anzala, S.M Thumbi |
| 61 |
[GO] |
2022―Jul―13 |
First wave of SARS-CoV-2 in Santiago Chile: seroprevalence, asymptomatic infection and infection fatality rate |
Pablo A. Vial, Claudia González, Mauricio Apablaza, Cecilia Vial, M Estela Lavín, Rafael Araos, Paola Rubilar, Gloria Icaza, Andrei Florea, Claudia Pérez, Paula Concha, Diego Bastías, María Paz Errázuriz, Ruth Pérez, Francisco Guzmán, Andrea Olea, Eugenio Guzmán, Juan Correa, José Manuel Munita, Ximena Aguilera |
| 62 |
[GO] |
2022―Jun―20 |
Policy-driven mathematical modelling for COVID-19 pandemic response in the Philippines |
Elvira de Lara-Tuprio, Carlo Delfin S. Estadilla, Jay Michael R. Macalalag, Timothy Robin Teng, Joshua Uyheng, Kennedy E. Espina, Christian E. Pulmano, Maria Regina Justina E. Estuar, Raymond Francis R. Sarmiento |
| 63 |
[GO] |
2022―Jun―17 |
Investigating the relationship between interventions, contact patterns, and SARS-CoV-2 transmissibility |
Filippo Trentini, Adriana Manna, Nicoletta Balbo, Valentina Marziano, Giorgio Guzzetta, Samantha O’Dell, Allisandra G. Kummer, Maria Litvinova, Stefano Merler, Marco Ajelli, Piero Poletti, Alessia Melegaro |
| 64 |
[GO] |
2022―Jun―14 |
Modelling how face masks and symptoms-based quarantine synergistically and cost-effectively reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Bangladesh |
Elaine A Ferguson, Eric Brum, Anir Chowdhury, Shayan Chowdhury, Mikolaj Kundegorski, Ayesha S Mahmud, Nabila Purno, Ayesha Sania, Rachel Steenson, Motahara Tasneem, Katie Hampson |
| 65 |
[GO] |
2022―Jun―03 |
The role of airborne transmission in a large single source outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 in a Belgian nursing home in 2020 |
Bea Vuylsteke, Lize Cuypers, Guy Baele, Marianne Stranger, Sarah Lima Paralovo, Emmanuel André, Joke Dirks, Piet Maes, Marie Laga |
| 66 |
[GO] |
2022―Jun―01 |
Synchronized spread of COVID-19 in the cities of Bahia, Brazil |
Hugo Saba, A.S. Nascimento Filho, José G.V. Miranda, Raphael S. Rosário, Thiago B. Murari, Eduardo M.F. Jorge, Elaine C.B. Cambui, Márcia S.P.L. Souza, Ana C.F.N. Silva, Márcio L.V. Araújo |
| 67 |
[GO] |
2022―May―31 |
Modelling: understanding pandemics and how to control them |
Glenn Marion, Liza Hadley, Valerie Isham, Denis Mollison, Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths, Lorenzo Pellis, Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba, Francesca Scarabel, Ben Swallow, Pieter Trapman, Daniel Villela |
| 68 |
[GO] |
2022―May―25 |
Modeling waning and boosting of COVID-19 in Canada with vaccination |
Lauren Childs, David W. Dick, Zhilan Feng, Jane M. Heffernan, Jing Li, Gergely Röst |
| 69 |
[GO] |
2022―May―23 |
Gecko: A time-series model for COVID-19 hospital admission forecasting |
Mark J. Panaggio, Kaitlin Rainwater-Lovett, Paul J. Nicholas, Mike Fang, Hyunseung Bang, Jeffrey Freeman, Elisha Peterson, Samuel Imbriale |
| 70 |
[GO] |
2022―May―20 |
A Country-specific Model of COVID-19 Vaccination Coverage Needed For Herd Immunity In Adult Only or Population Wide Vaccination Programme |
Fang Ting Goh, Yi Zhen Chew, Clarence C Tam, Chee Fu Yung, Hannah Clapham |
| 71 |
[GO] |
2022―May―19 |
A multilayer network model of Covid-19: Implications in public health policy in Costa Rica |
Fabio Sanchez, Juan G. Calvo, Gustavo Mery, Yury E. García, Paola Vásquez, Luis A. Barboza, María Dolores Pérez, Tania Rivas |
| 72 |
[GO] |
2022―May―13 |
Epidemiological and genomic findings of the first documented Italian outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Alpha variant |
Laura Amato, Luca Candeloro, Arturo Di Girolamo, Lara Savini, Ilaria Puglia, Maurilia Marcacci, Marialuigia Caporale, Iolanda Mangone, Cesare Cammà, Annamaria Conte, Giuseppe Torzi, Adamo Mancinelli, Francesca Di Giallonardo, Alessio Lorusso, Giacomo Migliorati, Thomas Schael, Nicola D’Alterio, Paolo Calistri |
| 73 |
[GO] |
2022―May―07 |
Applying mixture model methods to SARS-CoV-2 serosurvey data from Geneva |
Judith A. Bouman, Sarah Kadelka, Silvia Stringhini, Francesco Pennacchio, Benjamin Meyer, Sabine Yerly, Laurent Kaiser, Idris Guessous, Andrew S. Azman, Sebastian Bonhoeffer, Roland R. Regoes |
| 74 |
[GO] |
2022―Apr―22 |
Bayesian sequential data assimilation for COVID-19 forecasting |
Maria L. Daza-Torres, Marcos A. Capistrán, Antonio Capella, J. Andrés Christen |
| 75 |
[GO] |
2022―Apr―16 |
Modeling the population-level impact of treatment on COVID-19 disease and SARS-CoV-2 transmission |
Monia Makhoul, Farah Abu-Hijleh, Houssein H. Ayoub, Shaheen Seedat, Hiam Chemaitelly, Laith J. Abu-Raddad |
| 76 |
[GO] |
2022―Apr―09 |
Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 in British Columbia: An age-structured model with time-dependent contact rates |
Sarafa A. Iyaniwura, Rebeca C. Falcão, Notice Ringa, Prince A. Adu, Michelle Spencer, Marsha Taylor, Caroline Colijn, Daniel Coombs, Naveed Z. Janjua, Michael A Irvine, Michael Otterstatter |
| 77 |
[GO] |
2022―Apr―09 |
A Wastewater-Based Epidemic Model for SARS-CoV-2 with Application to Three Canadian Cities |
Shokoofeh Nourbakhsh, Aamir Fazil, Michael Li, Chand S. Mangat, Shelley W. Peterson, Jade Daigle, Stacie Langner, Jayson Shurgold, Patrick D’Aoust, Robert Delatolla, Elizabeth Mercier, Xiaoli Pang, Bonita E. Lee, Rebecca Stuart, Shinthuja Wijayasri, David Champredon |
| 78 |
[GO] |
2022―Apr―06 |
Estimating COVID-19 cases and deaths prevented by non-pharmaceutical interventions, and the impact of individual actions: A retrospective model-based analysis |
Kathyrn R. Fair, Vadim A. Karatayev, Madhur Anand, Chris T. Bauch |
| 79 |
[GO] |
2022―Mar―12 |
Percolation across households in mechanistic models of non-pharmaceutical interventions in SARS-CoV-2 disease dynamics |
Caroline Franco, Leonardo Souto Ferreira, Vítor Sudbrack, Marcelo Eduardo Borges, Silas Poloni, Lisa J. White, Paulo Inácio Prado, Ricardo Águas, Roberto André Kraenkel, Renato Mendes Coutinho |
| 80 |
[GO] |
2022―Mar―09 |
Variability in transmission risk of SARS-CoV-2 in close contact settings: A contact tracing study in Shandong Province, China |
Tim K. Tsang, Li-Qun Fang, Anran Zhang, Fa-Chun Jiang, Shi-Man Ruan, Lan-Zheng Liu, Benjamin J. Cowling, Wei Liu, Yang Yang |
| 81 |
[GO] |
2022―Mar―02 |
Recalibrating the notion of modelling for policymaking during pandemics |
Yot Teerawattananon, KC Sarin, Y-Ling Chi, Saudamini Dabak, Joseph Kazibwe, Hannah Clapham, Claudia Lopez, Gabriel Leung, Hamid Sharifi, Mahlet Habtemariam, Mark Blecher, Sania Nishtar, Swarup Sarkar, David Wilson, Kalipso Chalkidou, Marelize Gorgens, Raymond Hutubessy, Suwit Wibulpolprasert |
| 82 |
[GO] |
2022―Feb―24 |
Rapid assessment of the risk of SARS-CoV-2 importation to Australia in February 2020 |
Freya M. Shearer, James Walker, Nefel Tellioglu, James M. McCaw, Jodie McVernon, Andrew Black, Nicholas Geard |
| 83 |
[GO] |
2022―Feb―11 |
Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics |
Mirjam E. Kretzschmar, Ben Ashby, Elizabeth Fearon, Christopher E. Overton, Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths, Lorenzo Pellis, Matthew Quaife, Ganna Rozhnova, Francesca Scarabel, Helena B Stage, Ben Swallow, Robin N. Thompson, Michael J. Tildesley, Daniel Villela |
| 84 |
[GO] |
2022―Feb―10 |
Challenges in estimation, uncertainty quantification and elicitation for pandemic modelling |
Paul Birrell, Joshua Blake, Mark Burgman, Peter Challenor, Luc E. Coffeng, Philip Dawid, Daniela De Angelis, Michael Goldstein, Victoria Hemming, Glenn Marion, Trevelyan J. McKinley, Christopher Overton, Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths, Lorenzo Pellis, Will Probert, Katriona Shea, Daniel Villela, Ian Vernon |
| 85 |
[GO] |
2022―Jan―19 |
A semi-parametric mixed model for short-term projection of daily COVID-19 incidence in Canada |
Muhammad Abu Shadeque Mullah, Ping Yan |
| 86 |
[GO] |
2021―Dec―14 |
Impact of vaccination and non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 dynamics in Switzerland |
Andrew J. Shattock, Epke A. Le Rutte, Robert P. Dünner, Swapnoleena Sen, Sherrie L. Kelly, Nakul Chitnis, Melissa A. Penny |
| 87 |
[GO] |
2021―Dec―03 |
Existing human mobility data sources poorly predicted the spatial spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Madagascar |
Tanjona Ramiadantsoa, C. Jessica E. Metcalf, Antso Hasina Raherinandrasana, Santatra Randrianarisoa, Benjamin L. Rice, Amy Wesolowski, Fidiniaina Mamy Randriatsarafara, Fidisoa Rasambainarivo |
| 88 |
[GO] |
2021―Dec―02 |
Precautionary breaks: Planned, limited duration circuit breaks to control the prevalence of SARS-CoV2 and the burden of COVID-19 disease |
Matt J. Keeling, Glen Guyver-Fletcher, Louise Dyson, Michael J. Tildesley, Edward M. Hill, Graham F. Medley |
| 89 |
[GO] |
2021―Nov―29 |
Cross-sectional cycle threshold values reflect epidemic dynamics of COVID-19 in Madagascar |
Soa Fy Andriamandimby, Cara E. Brook, Norosoa Razanajatovo, Tsiry H. Randriambolamanantsoa, Jean-Marius Rakotondramanga, Fidisoa Rasambainarivo, Vaomalala Raharimanga, Iony Manitra Razanajatovo, Reziky Mangahasimbola, Richter Razafindratsimandresy, Santatra Randrianarisoa, Barivola Bernardson, Joelinotahiana Hasina Rabarison, Mirella Randrianarisoa, Frédéric Stanley Nasolo, Roger Mario Rabetombosoa, Anne-Marie Ratsimbazafy, Vololoniaina Raharinosy, Aina H. Rabemananjara, Christian H. Ranaivoson, Helisoa Razafimanjato, Rindra Randremanana, Jean-Michel Héraud, Philippe Dussart |
| 90 |
[GO] |
2021―Nov―25 |
Assessing the risk of cascading COVID-19 outbreaks from prison-to-prison transfers |
Todd L. Parsons, Lee Worden |
| 91 |
[GO] |
2021―Nov―22 |
Coordinated support for local action: Modeling strategies to facilitate behavior adoption in urban-poor communities of Liberia for sustained COVID-19 suppression |
Laura A. Skrip, Mosoka P. Fallah, Jamie Bedson, Laurent Hébert-Dufresne, Benjamin M. Althouse |
| 92 |
[GO] |
2021―Nov―20 |
The early phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy |
Danilo Cereda, Mattia Manica, Marcello Tirani, Francesca Rovida, Vittorio Demicheli, Marco Ajelli, Piero Poletti, Filippo Trentini, Giorgio Guzzetta, Valentina Marziano, Raffaella Piccarreta, Antonio Barone, Michele Magoni, Silvia Deandrea, Giulio Diurno, Massimo Lombardo, Marino Faccini, Angelo Pan, Raffaele Bruno, Elena Pariani, Giacomo Grasselli, Alessandra Piatti, Maria Gramegna, Fausto Baldanti, Alessia Melegaro, Stefano Merler |
| 93 |
[GO] |
2021―Nov―17 |
A quantitative assessment of epidemiological parameters required to investigate COVID-19 burden |
Agnese Zardini, Margherita Galli, Marcello Tirani, Danilo Cereda, Mattia Manica, Filippo Trentini, Giorgio Guzzetta, Valentina Marziano, Raffaella Piccarreta, Alessia Melegaro, Marco Ajelli, Piero Poletti, Stefano Merler |
| 94 |
[GO] |
2021―Nov―15 |
Optimizing COVID-19 control with asymptomatic surveillance testing in a university environment |
Cara E. Brook, Graham R. Northrup, Alexander J. Ehrenberg, Jennifer A. Doudna, Mike Boots |
| 95 |
[GO] |
2021―Nov―12 |
Assessing the efficacy of interventions to control indoor SARS-Cov-2 transmission: an agent-based modeling approach |
Trevor S. Farthing, Cristina Lanzas |
| 96 |
[GO] |
2021―Nov―01 |
Rapid transmission of coronavirus disease 2019 within a religious sect in South Korea: a mathematical modeling study |
Jong-Hoon Kim, Hyojung Lee, Yong Sul Won, Woo-Sik Son, Justin Im |
| 97 |
[GO] |
2021―Oct―30 |
A new logistic growth model applied to COVID-19 fatality data |
S. Triambak, D.P. Mahapatra, N. Mallick, R. Sahoo |
| 98 |
[GO] |
2021―Oct―26 |
Sustaining effective COVID-19 control in Malaysia through large-scale vaccination |
Pavithra Jayasundara, Kalaiarasu M. Peariasamy, Kian Boon Law, Ku Nurhasni Ku Abd Rahim, Sit Wai Lee, Izzuna Mudla M. Ghazali, Milinda Abayawardana, Linh-Vi Le, Rukun K.S. Khalaf, Karina Razali, Xuan Le, Zhuo Lin Chong, Emma S McBryde, Michael T Meehan, Jamie M. Caldwell, Romain Ragonnet, James M Trauer |
| 99 |
[GO] |
2021―Oct―19 |
Globally local: Hyper-local modeling for accurate forecast of COVID-19 |
Vishrawas Gopalakrishnan, Sayali Pethe, Sarah Kefayati, Raman Srinivasan, Paul Hake, Ajay Deshpande, Xuan Liu, Etter Hoang, Marbelly Davila, Simone Bianco, James H. Kaufman |
| 100 |
[GO] |
2021―Oct―04 |
Assessing the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Belgium by means of an extended SEIQRD model and public mobility data |
Tijs W. Alleman, Jenna Vergeynst, Lander De Visscher, Michiel Rollier, Elena Torfs, Ingmar Nopens, Jan M. Baetens |
| 101 |
[GO] |
2021―Sep―27 |
Rational evaluation of various epidemic models based on the COVID-19 data of China |
Wuyue Yang, Dongyan Zhang, Liangrong Peng, Changjing Zhuge, Liu Hong |
| 102 |
[GO] |
2021―Aug―30 |
Challenges on the interaction of models and policy for pandemic control |
L. Hadley, P. Challenor, C. Dent, V. Isham, D. Mollison, D.A. Robertson, B. Swallow, C. R Webb |
| 103 |
[GO] |
2021―Aug―27 |
COVID-19 Belgium: Extended SEIR-QD model with nursing homes and long-term scenarios-based forecasts |
Nicolas Franco |
| 104 |
[GO] |
2021―Aug―18 |
Dynamic Network Strategies for SARS-CoV-2 Control on a Cruise Ship |
Samuel M. Jenness, Kathryn S. Willebrand, Amyn A. Malik, Benjamin A. Lopman, Saad B. Omer |
| 105 |
[GO] |
2021―Aug―16 |
Impacts of K-12 school reopening on the COVID-19 epidemic in Indiana, USA |
Guido España, Sean Cavany, Rachel Oidtman, Carly Barber, Alan Costello, Anita Lerch, Marya Poterek, Quan Tran, Annaliese Wieler, Sean Moore, T. Alex Perkins |
| 106 |
[GO] |
2021―Aug―11 |
Forecasting COVID-19 infections with the semi-unrestricted Generalized Growth Model |
Pablo Pincheira Brown, Andrea Bentancor |
| 107 |
[GO] |
2021―Aug―09 |
Quantification of the spread of SARS-CoV-2 variant B.1.1.7 in Switzerland |
Chaoran Chen, Sarah Nadeau, Ivan Topolsky, Marc Manceau, Jana S. Huisman, Kim Philipp Jablonski, Lara Fuhrmann, David Dreifuss, Katharina Jahn, Christiane Beckmann, Maurice Redondo, Christoph Noppen, Lorenz Risch, Martin Risch, Nadia Wohlwend, Sinem Kas, Thomas Bodmer, Tim Roloff, Madlen Stange, Adrian Egli, Isabella Eckerle, Laurent Kaiser, Rebecca Denes, Mirjam Feldkamp, Ina Nissen, Natascha Santacroce, Elodie Burcklen, Catharine Aquino, Andreia Cabral de Gouvea, Maria Domenica Moccia, Simon Grüter, Timothy Sykes, Lennart Opitz, Griffin White, Laura Neff, Doris Popovic, Andrea Patrignani, Jay Tracy, Ralph Schlapbach, Emmanouil T. Dermitzakis, Keith Harshman, Ioannis Xenarios, Henri Pegeot, Lorenzo Cerutti, Deborah Penet, Anthony Blin, Melyssa Elies, Christian L. Althaus, Christian Beisel, Niko Beerenwinkel, Martin Ackermann, Tanja Stadler |
| 108 |
[GO] |
2021―Jul―13 |
The impact of social distancing, contact tracing, and case isolation interventions to suppress the COVID-19 epidemic: A modeling study |
Yang Ge, Zhiping Chen, Andreas Handel, Leonardo Martinez, Qian Xiao, Changwei Li, Enfu Chen, Jinren Pan, Yang Li, Feng Ling, Ye Shen |
| 109 |
[GO] |
2021―Jul―12 |
Modeling the population effects of escape mutations in SARS-CoV-2 to guide vaccination strategies |
James S. Koopman, Carl P. Simon, Wayne M. Getz, Richard Salter |
| 110 |
[GO] |
2021―Jun―29 |
Modelling SARS-CoV-2 transmission in a UK university setting |
Edward M. Hill, Benjamin D. Atkins, Matt J. Keeling, Michael J. Tildesley, Louise Dyson |
| 111 |
[GO] |
2021―Jun―24 |
Estimating the generation interval and inferring the latent period of COVID-19 from the contact tracing data |
Shi Zhao, Biao Tang, Salihu S Musa, Shujuan Ma, Jiayue Zhang, Minyan Zeng, Qingping Yun, Wei Guo, Yixiang Zheng, Zuyao Yang, Zhihang Peng, Marc KC Chong, Mohammad Javanbakht, Daihai He, Maggie H. Wang |
| 112 |
[GO] |
2021―Jun―19 |
Development of an influenza pandemic decision support tool linking situational analytics to national response policy |
Freya M. Shearer, Robert Moss, David J. Price, Alexander E. Zarebski, Peter G. Ballard, Jodie McVernon, Joshua V. Ross, James M. McCaw |
| 113 |
[GO] |
2021―Jun―17 |
Social contact patterns among employees in 3 U.S. companies during early phases of the COVID-19 pandemic, April to June 2020 |
Moses C. Kiti, Obianuju G. Aguolu, Carol Y. Liu, Ana R. Mesa, Rachel Regina, Meaghan Woody, Kathryn Willebrand, Chandra Couzens, Tilman Bartelsmeyer, Kristin N. Nelson, Samuel Jenness, Steven Riley, Alessia Melegaro, Faruque Ahmed, Fauzia Malik, Ben A. Lopman, Saad B. Omer |
| 114 |
[GO] |
2021―Jun―17 |
Quantifying heterogeneity in SARS-CoV-2 transmission during the lockdown in India |
Nimalan Arinaminpathy, Jishnu Das, Tyler H. McCormick, Partha Mukhopadhyay, Neelanjan Sircar |
| 115 |
[GO] |
2021―May―29 |
Lessons for preparedness and reasons for concern from the early COVID-19 epidemic in Iran |
Mahan Ghafari, Bardia Hejazi, Arman Karshenas, Stefan Dascalu, Alireza Kadvidar, Mohammad A. Khosravi, Maryam Abbasalipour, Majid Heydari, Sirous Zeinali, Luca Ferretti, Alice Ledda, Aris Katzourakis |
| 116 |
[GO] |
2021―May―09 |
Assessing the nationwide impact of COVID-19 mitigation policies on the transmission rate of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil |
Daniel C.P. Jorge, Moreno S. Rodrigues, Mateus S. Silva, Luciana L. Cardim, Nívea B. da Silva, Ismael H. Silveira, Vivian A.F. Silva, Felipe A.C. Pereira, Arthur R. de Azevedo, Alan A.S. Amad, Suani T.R. Pinho, Roberto F.S. Andrade, Pablo I.P. Ramos, Juliane F. Oliveira |
| 117 |
[GO] |
2021―May―08 |
Network models and the interpretation of prolonged infection plateaus in the COVID19 pandemic |
Natalia L. Komarova, Asma Azizi, Dominik Wodarz |
| 118 |
[GO] |
2021―Apr―27 |
Memory is key in capturing COVID-19 epidemiological dynamics |
Mircea T. Sofonea, Bastien Reyné, Baptiste Elie, Ramsès Djidjou-Demasse, Christian Selinger, Yannis Michalakis, Samuel Alizon |
| 119 |
[GO] |
2021―Apr―20 |
Participatory syndromic surveillance as a tool for tracking COVID-19 in Bangladesh |
Ayesha S. Mahmud, Shayan Chowdhury, Kawsar Hossain Sojib, Anir Chowdhury, Md. Tanvir Quader, Sangita Paul, Md. Sheikh Saidy, Ramiz Uddin, Kenth Engø-Monsen, Caroline O. Buckee |
| 120 |
[GO] |
2021―Mar―23 |
Modeling the early phase of the Belgian COVID-19 epidemic using a stochastic compartmental model and studying its implied future trajectories |
Steven Abrams, James Wambua, Eva Santermans, Lander Willem, Elise Kuylen, Pietro Coletti, Pieter Libin, Christel Faes, Oana Petrof, Sereina A. Herzog, Philippe Beutels, Niel Hens |
| 121 |
[GO] |
2021―Mar―20 |
The performance of phenomenological models in providing near-term Canadian case projections in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic: March - April, 2020 |
Ben A. Smith, Christina Bancej, Aamir Fazil, Muhammad Mullah, Ping Yan, Shenghai Zhang |
| 122 |
[GO] |
2021―Mar―19 |
How much leeway is there to relax COVID-19 control measures? |
Sean C. Anderson, Nicola Mulberry, Andrew M. Edwards, Jessica E. Stockdale, Sarafa A. Iyaniwura, Rebeca C. Falcao, Michael C. Otterstatter, Naveed Z. Janjua, Daniel Coombs, Caroline Colijn |
| 123 |
[GO] |
2021―Mar―18 |
Estimation of the incubation period of COVID-19 using viral load data |
Keisuke Ejima, Kwang Su Kim, Christina Ludema, Ana I. Bento, Shoya Iwanami, Yasuhisa Fujita, Hirofumi Ohashi, Yoshiki Koizumi, Koichi Watashi, Kazuyuki Aihara, Hiroshi Nishiura, Shingo Iwami |
| 124 |
[GO] |
2021―Mar―01 |
Modelling suggests ABO histo-incompatibility may substantially reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission |
Peter J.I. Ellis |
| 125 |
[GO] |
2021―Feb―21 |
Estimating the global reduction in transmission and rise in detection capacity of the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 in early 2020 |
Antoine Belloir, François Blanquart |
| 126 |
[GO] |
2021―Jan―29 |
COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan demonstrates the limitations of publicly available case numbers for epidemiological modelling |
Elba Raimúndez, Erika Dudkin, Jakob Vanhoefer, Emad Alamoudi, Simon Merkt, Lara Fuhrmann, Fan Bai, Jan Hasenauer |
| 127 |
[GO] |
2021―Jan―21 |
A model for COVID-19 with isolation, quarantine and testing as control measures |
M.S. Aronna, R. Guglielmi, L.M. Moschen |
| 128 |
[GO] |
2020―Dec―21 |
Chopping the tail: How preventing superspreading can help to maintain COVID-19 control |
Morgan P. Kain, Marissa L. Childs, Alexander D. Becker, Erin A. Mordecai |
| 129 |
[GO] |
2020―Nov―24 |
The impact of lockdown strategies targeting age groups on the burden of COVID-19 in France |
Benjamin Roche, Andres Garchitorena, David Roiz |
| 130 |
[GO] |
2020―Nov―09 |
Pseudo-likelihood based logistic regression for estimating COVID-19 infection and case fatality rates by gender, race, and age in California |
Di Xiong, Lu Zhang, Gregory L. Watson, Phillip Sundin, Teresa Bufford, Joseph A. Zoller, John Shamshoian, Marc A. Suchard, Christina M. Ramirez |
| 131 |
[GO] |
2020―Oct―21 |
Emergence of zoonoses such as COVID-19 reveals the need for health sciences to embrace an explicit eco-social conceptual framework of health and disease |
Chris Kenyon |
| 132 |
[GO] |
2020―Jun―06 |
The effects of border control and quarantine measures on the spread of COVID-19 |
M. Pear Hossain, Alvin Junus, Xiaolin Zhu, Pengfei Jia, Tzai-Hung Wen, Dirk Pfeiffer, Hsiang-Yu Yuan |
| 133 |
[GO] |
2020―May―11 |
The time scale of asymptomatic transmission affects estimates of epidemic potential in the COVID-19 outbreak |
Sang Woo Park, Daniel M. Cornforth, Jonathan Dushoff, Joshua S. Weitz |
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